Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean

Transdisciplinary approaches that consider both socioeconomic and biophysical processes are central to understanding and managing rapid change in coral reef systems worldwide. To date, there have been limited attempts to couple the two sets of processes in dynamic models for coral reefs, and these a...

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Main Authors: Jessica Melbourne-Thomas, Craig R. Johnson, Pascal Perez, Jeremy Eustache, Elizabeth A. Fulton, Deborah Cleland
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Resilience Alliance 2011-09-01
Series:Ecology and Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss3/art23/
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author Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
Craig R. Johnson
Pascal Perez
Jeremy Eustache
Elizabeth A. Fulton
Deborah Cleland
author_facet Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
Craig R. Johnson
Pascal Perez
Jeremy Eustache
Elizabeth A. Fulton
Deborah Cleland
author_sort Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
collection DOAJ
description Transdisciplinary approaches that consider both socioeconomic and biophysical processes are central to understanding and managing rapid change in coral reef systems worldwide. To date, there have been limited attempts to couple the two sets of processes in dynamic models for coral reefs, and these attempts are confined to reef systems in developed countries. We present an approach to coupling existing biophysical and socioeconomic models for coral reef systems in the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. The biophysical model is multiscale, using dynamic equations to capture local-scale ecological processes on individual reefs, with reefs connected at regional scales by the ocean transport of larval propagules. The agent-based socioeconomic model simulates changes in tourism, fisheries, and urbanization in the Quintana Roo region. Despite differences in the formulation and currencies of the two models, we were able to successfully modify and integrate them to synchronize and define information flows and feedbacks between them. A preliminary evaluation of the coupled model system indicates that the model gives reasonable predictions for fisheries and ecological variables and can be used to examine scenarios for future social-ecological change in Quintana Roo. We provide recommendations for where efforts might usefully be focused in future attempts to integrate models of biophysical and socioeconomic processes, based on the limitations of our coupled system.
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spelling doaj.art-6e51a12196ae495094222f0105c673f92022-12-21T19:21:02ZengResilience AllianceEcology and Society1708-30872011-09-011632310.5751/ES-04208-1603234208Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican CaribbeanJessica Melbourne-Thomas0Craig R. Johnson1Pascal Perez2Jeremy Eustache3Elizabeth A. Fulton4Deborah Cleland5University of TasmaniaUniversity of TasmaniaUniversity of WollongongAustralian National UniversityCSIRO Wealth from Oceans FlagshipAustralian National UniversityTransdisciplinary approaches that consider both socioeconomic and biophysical processes are central to understanding and managing rapid change in coral reef systems worldwide. To date, there have been limited attempts to couple the two sets of processes in dynamic models for coral reefs, and these attempts are confined to reef systems in developed countries. We present an approach to coupling existing biophysical and socioeconomic models for coral reef systems in the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. The biophysical model is multiscale, using dynamic equations to capture local-scale ecological processes on individual reefs, with reefs connected at regional scales by the ocean transport of larval propagules. The agent-based socioeconomic model simulates changes in tourism, fisheries, and urbanization in the Quintana Roo region. Despite differences in the formulation and currencies of the two models, we were able to successfully modify and integrate them to synchronize and define information flows and feedbacks between them. A preliminary evaluation of the coupled model system indicates that the model gives reasonable predictions for fisheries and ecological variables and can be used to examine scenarios for future social-ecological change in Quintana Roo. We provide recommendations for where efforts might usefully be focused in future attempts to integrate models of biophysical and socioeconomic processes, based on the limitations of our coupled system.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss3/art23/biophysicalcoral reefscoupled modelsdecision supportsocioeconomicsocial&#8211ecological systems
spellingShingle Jessica Melbourne-Thomas
Craig R. Johnson
Pascal Perez
Jeremy Eustache
Elizabeth A. Fulton
Deborah Cleland
Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
Ecology and Society
biophysical
coral reefs
coupled models
decision support
socioeconomic
social&#8211
ecological systems
title Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
title_full Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
title_fullStr Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
title_full_unstemmed Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
title_short Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
title_sort coupling biophysical and socioeconomic models for coral reef systems in quintana roo mexican caribbean
topic biophysical
coral reefs
coupled models
decision support
socioeconomic
social&#8211
ecological systems
url http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss3/art23/
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