Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt

Cities such as Detroit, MI in the post-industrial Rust Belt region of the United States, have been experiencing a decline in both population and economy since the 1970's. These “shrinking cities” are characterized by aging infrastructure and increasing vacant areas, potentially resulting in mor...

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Main Authors: Kyotaek Hwang, Alex Eklund, Cecily Valdez, Shirley A. Papuga
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1010849/full
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author Kyotaek Hwang
Kyotaek Hwang
Alex Eklund
Cecily Valdez
Shirley A. Papuga
Shirley A. Papuga
author_facet Kyotaek Hwang
Kyotaek Hwang
Alex Eklund
Cecily Valdez
Shirley A. Papuga
Shirley A. Papuga
author_sort Kyotaek Hwang
collection DOAJ
description Cities such as Detroit, MI in the post-industrial Rust Belt region of the United States, have been experiencing a decline in both population and economy since the 1970's. These “shrinking cities” are characterized by aging infrastructure and increasing vacant areas, potentially resulting in more green space. While in growing cities research has demonstrated an “urban heat island” effect resulting from increased temperatures with increased urbanization, little is known about how this may be different if a city shrinks due to urban decline. We hypothesize that the changes associated with shrinking cities will have a measurable impact on their local climatology that is different than in areas experiencing increased urbanization. Here we present our analysis of historical temperature and precipitation records (1900–2020) from weather stations positioned in multiple shrinking cities from within the Rust Belt region of the United States and in growing cities within and outside of this region. Our results suggest that while temperatures are increasing overall, these increases are lower in shrinking cities than those cities that are continuing to experience urban growth. Our analysis also suggests there are differences in precipitation trends between shrinking and growing cities. We also highlight recent climate data in Detroit, MI in the context of these longer-term changes in climatology to support urban planning and management decisions that may influence or be influenced by these trends.
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spelling doaj.art-6e533d72affc43468acfd3c23191883d2023-01-23T04:50:12ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Climate2624-95532023-01-01510.3389/fclim.2023.10108491010849Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust BeltKyotaek Hwang0Kyotaek Hwang1Alex Eklund2Cecily Valdez3Shirley A. Papuga4Shirley A. Papuga5Department of Environmental Science and Geology, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, United StatesInstitute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United StatesDepartment of Environmental Science and Geology, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, United StatesDepartment of Environmental Science and Geology, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, United StatesDepartment of Environmental Science and Geology, Wayne State University, Detroit, MI, United StatesDepartment of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United StatesCities such as Detroit, MI in the post-industrial Rust Belt region of the United States, have been experiencing a decline in both population and economy since the 1970's. These “shrinking cities” are characterized by aging infrastructure and increasing vacant areas, potentially resulting in more green space. While in growing cities research has demonstrated an “urban heat island” effect resulting from increased temperatures with increased urbanization, little is known about how this may be different if a city shrinks due to urban decline. We hypothesize that the changes associated with shrinking cities will have a measurable impact on their local climatology that is different than in areas experiencing increased urbanization. Here we present our analysis of historical temperature and precipitation records (1900–2020) from weather stations positioned in multiple shrinking cities from within the Rust Belt region of the United States and in growing cities within and outside of this region. Our results suggest that while temperatures are increasing overall, these increases are lower in shrinking cities than those cities that are continuing to experience urban growth. Our analysis also suggests there are differences in precipitation trends between shrinking and growing cities. We also highlight recent climate data in Detroit, MI in the context of these longer-term changes in climatology to support urban planning and management decisions that may influence or be influenced by these trends.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1010849/fullgreen spacetemperatureprecipitationurbanizationurban heat islandDetroit
spellingShingle Kyotaek Hwang
Kyotaek Hwang
Alex Eklund
Cecily Valdez
Shirley A. Papuga
Shirley A. Papuga
Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt
Frontiers in Climate
green space
temperature
precipitation
urbanization
urban heat island
Detroit
title Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt
title_full Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt
title_fullStr Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt
title_short Impacts of urban decline on local climatology: A comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post-industrial Rust Belt
title_sort impacts of urban decline on local climatology a comparison of growing and shrinking cities in the post industrial rust belt
topic green space
temperature
precipitation
urbanization
urban heat island
Detroit
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1010849/full
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