Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México

Abstract Species distribution models (SDMs) are an increasingly important tool for conservation particularly for difficult‐to‐study locations and with understudied fauna. Our aims were to (1) use SDMs and ensemble SDMs to predict the distribution of freshwater mussels in the Pánuco River Basin in Ce...

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Huvudupphovsmän: Alexander H. Kiser, Kevin S. Cummings, Jeremy S. Tiemann, Chase H. Smith, Nathan A. Johnson, Roel R. Lopez, Charles R. Randklev
Materialtyp: Artikel
Språk:English
Publicerad: Wiley 2022-05-01
Serie:Ecology and Evolution
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Länkar:https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.8909
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author Alexander H. Kiser
Kevin S. Cummings
Jeremy S. Tiemann
Chase H. Smith
Nathan A. Johnson
Roel R. Lopez
Charles R. Randklev
author_facet Alexander H. Kiser
Kevin S. Cummings
Jeremy S. Tiemann
Chase H. Smith
Nathan A. Johnson
Roel R. Lopez
Charles R. Randklev
author_sort Alexander H. Kiser
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Species distribution models (SDMs) are an increasingly important tool for conservation particularly for difficult‐to‐study locations and with understudied fauna. Our aims were to (1) use SDMs and ensemble SDMs to predict the distribution of freshwater mussels in the Pánuco River Basin in Central México; (2) determine habitat factors shaping freshwater mussel occurrence; and (3) use predicted occupancy across a range of taxa to identify freshwater mussel biodiversity hotspots to guide conservation and management. In the Pánuco River Basin, we modeled the distributions of 11 freshwater mussel species using an ensemble approach, wherein multiple SDM methodologies were combined to create a single ensemble map of predicted occupancy. A total of 621 species‐specific observations at 87 sites were used to create species‐specific ensembles. These predictive species ensembles were then combined to create local diversity hotspot maps. Precipitation during the warmest quarter, elevation, and mean temperature were consistently the most important discriminatory environmental variables among species, whereas land use had limited influence across all taxa. To the best of our knowledge, our study is the first freshwater mussel‐focused research to use an ensemble approach to determine species distribution and predict biodiversity hotspots. Our study can be used to guide not only current conservation efforts but also prioritize areas for future conservation and study.
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spelling doaj.art-6e7002a7ddd04ef6ad4b742b508c67b02022-12-22T02:23:26ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582022-05-01125n/an/a10.1002/ece3.8909Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in MéxicoAlexander H. Kiser0Kevin S. Cummings1Jeremy S. Tiemann2Chase H. Smith3Nathan A. Johnson4Roel R. Lopez5Charles R. Randklev6Texas A&M AgriLife Research Center at Dallas Texas A&M Natural Resources Institute Dallas Texas USAIllinois Natural History Survey Urbana‐Champaign Illinois USAIllinois Natural History Survey Urbana‐Champaign Illinois USADepartment of Integrative Biology University of Texas Austin Texas USAU.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center Gainesville Florida USATexas A&M AgriLife Research Center at Dallas Texas A&M Natural Resources Institute Dallas Texas USATexas A&M AgriLife Research Center at Dallas Texas A&M Natural Resources Institute Dallas Texas USAAbstract Species distribution models (SDMs) are an increasingly important tool for conservation particularly for difficult‐to‐study locations and with understudied fauna. Our aims were to (1) use SDMs and ensemble SDMs to predict the distribution of freshwater mussels in the Pánuco River Basin in Central México; (2) determine habitat factors shaping freshwater mussel occurrence; and (3) use predicted occupancy across a range of taxa to identify freshwater mussel biodiversity hotspots to guide conservation and management. In the Pánuco River Basin, we modeled the distributions of 11 freshwater mussel species using an ensemble approach, wherein multiple SDM methodologies were combined to create a single ensemble map of predicted occupancy. A total of 621 species‐specific observations at 87 sites were used to create species‐specific ensembles. These predictive species ensembles were then combined to create local diversity hotspot maps. Precipitation during the warmest quarter, elevation, and mean temperature were consistently the most important discriminatory environmental variables among species, whereas land use had limited influence across all taxa. To the best of our knowledge, our study is the first freshwater mussel‐focused research to use an ensemble approach to determine species distribution and predict biodiversity hotspots. Our study can be used to guide not only current conservation efforts but also prioritize areas for future conservation and study.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.8909climateconservationhabitatmaxentmycetopodidaerandom forest
spellingShingle Alexander H. Kiser
Kevin S. Cummings
Jeremy S. Tiemann
Chase H. Smith
Nathan A. Johnson
Roel R. Lopez
Charles R. Randklev
Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México
Ecology and Evolution
climate
conservation
habitat
maxent
mycetopodidae
random forest
title Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México
title_full Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México
title_fullStr Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México
title_full_unstemmed Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México
title_short Using a multi‐model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas: An example using freshwater mussels in México
title_sort using a multi model ensemble approach to determine biodiversity hotspots with limited occurrence data in understudied areas an example using freshwater mussels in mexico
topic climate
conservation
habitat
maxent
mycetopodidae
random forest
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.8909
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