Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments

We consider the problem of evolutionary self-organization of control strategies using the example of speculative trading in a non-stationary immersion market environment. The main issue that obstructs obtaining real profit is the extremely high instability of the system component of observation seri...

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Main Authors: Alexander Musaev, Andrey Makshanov, Dmitry Grigoriev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-05-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/11/1797
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author Alexander Musaev
Andrey Makshanov
Dmitry Grigoriev
author_facet Alexander Musaev
Andrey Makshanov
Dmitry Grigoriev
author_sort Alexander Musaev
collection DOAJ
description We consider the problem of evolutionary self-organization of control strategies using the example of speculative trading in a non-stationary immersion market environment. The main issue that obstructs obtaining real profit is the extremely high instability of the system component of observation series which implement stochastic chaos. In these conditions, traditional techniques for increasing the stability of control strategies are ineffective. In particular, the use of adaptive computational schemes is difficult due to the high volatility and non-stationarity of observation series. That leads to significant statistical errors of both kinds in the generated control decisions. An alternative approach based on the use of dynamic robustification technologies significantly reduces the effectiveness of the decisions. In the current work, we propose a method based on evolutionary modeling, which supplies structural and parametric self-organization of the control model.
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spelling doaj.art-6e7ffbdfaf024290b80bb341e25618d42023-11-23T14:24:40ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902022-05-011011179710.3390/math10111797Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion EnvironmentsAlexander Musaev0Andrey Makshanov1Dmitry Grigoriev2St. Petersburg State Technological Institute (Technical University), 190013 St. Petersburg, RussiaDepartment of Computing Systems and Computer Science, Admiral Makarov State University of Maritime and Inland Shipping, 198035 St. Petersburg, RussiaCenter of Econometrics and Business Analytics (CEBA), St. Petersburg State University, 199034 St. Petersburg, RussiaWe consider the problem of evolutionary self-organization of control strategies using the example of speculative trading in a non-stationary immersion market environment. The main issue that obstructs obtaining real profit is the extremely high instability of the system component of observation series which implement stochastic chaos. In these conditions, traditional techniques for increasing the stability of control strategies are ineffective. In particular, the use of adaptive computational schemes is difficult due to the high volatility and non-stationarity of observation series. That leads to significant statistical errors of both kinds in the generated control decisions. An alternative approach based on the use of dynamic robustification technologies significantly reduces the effectiveness of the decisions. In the current work, we propose a method based on evolutionary modeling, which supplies structural and parametric self-organization of the control model.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/11/1797chaotic processescontrol strategiesnon-stationary environmentchannel strategiesobservation seriesnumerical studies
spellingShingle Alexander Musaev
Andrey Makshanov
Dmitry Grigoriev
Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments
Mathematics
chaotic processes
control strategies
non-stationary environment
channel strategies
observation series
numerical studies
title Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments
title_full Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments
title_fullStr Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments
title_full_unstemmed Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments
title_short Evolutionary Optimization of Control Strategies for Non-Stationary Immersion Environments
title_sort evolutionary optimization of control strategies for non stationary immersion environments
topic chaotic processes
control strategies
non-stationary environment
channel strategies
observation series
numerical studies
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/11/1797
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