Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks

Abstract Using a data set of German stocks that includes the financial crisis, this paper identifies market liquidity as the main driver of return seasonality. In comparison, the economic significance of order flow imbalance is markedly weaker. Applying panel regressions and controlling for unobserv...

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Main Authors: Michael Weigerding, Michael Hanke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2018-01-01
Series:Business Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40685-017-0060-0
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author Michael Weigerding
Michael Hanke
author_facet Michael Weigerding
Michael Hanke
author_sort Michael Weigerding
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Using a data set of German stocks that includes the financial crisis, this paper identifies market liquidity as the main driver of return seasonality. In comparison, the economic significance of order flow imbalance is markedly weaker. Applying panel regressions and controlling for unobserved effects, we investigate the effects of both variables simultaneously, together with dummies for calendar effects. US macroeconomic news announcements, which have been identified as one driver of return seasonality in previous studies using non-US data, are of little importance for our data set of German stocks.
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spelling doaj.art-6eb1a54627b04dfbb45b1a57fff58dc62022-12-21T21:55:09ZengSpringerBusiness Research2198-34022198-26272018-01-0111117319610.1007/s40685-017-0060-0Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocksMichael Weigerding0Michael Hanke1Commerzbank AGUniversity of Liechtenstein, Institute for FinanceAbstract Using a data set of German stocks that includes the financial crisis, this paper identifies market liquidity as the main driver of return seasonality. In comparison, the economic significance of order flow imbalance is markedly weaker. Applying panel regressions and controlling for unobserved effects, we investigate the effects of both variables simultaneously, together with dummies for calendar effects. US macroeconomic news announcements, which have been identified as one driver of return seasonality in previous studies using non-US data, are of little importance for our data set of German stocks.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40685-017-0060-0Turn-of-the-monthReturn seasonalityMarket liquidityOrder imbalance
spellingShingle Michael Weigerding
Michael Hanke
Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks
Business Research
Turn-of-the-month
Return seasonality
Market liquidity
Order imbalance
title Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks
title_full Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks
title_fullStr Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks
title_short Drivers of seasonal return patterns in German stocks
title_sort drivers of seasonal return patterns in german stocks
topic Turn-of-the-month
Return seasonality
Market liquidity
Order imbalance
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40685-017-0060-0
work_keys_str_mv AT michaelweigerding driversofseasonalreturnpatternsingermanstocks
AT michaelhanke driversofseasonalreturnpatternsingermanstocks