An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark

Since the Bologna Process was adopted, continuous assessment has been a cornerstone in the curriculum of most of the courses in the different degrees offered by the Spanish Universities. Continuous assessment plays an important role in both students’ and lecturers’ academic lives. In this study, we...

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Main Authors: María Morales, Antonio Salmerón, Ana D. Maldonado, Andrés R. Masegosa, Rafael Rumí
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/21/3994
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author María Morales
Antonio Salmerón
Ana D. Maldonado
Andrés R. Masegosa
Rafael Rumí
author_facet María Morales
Antonio Salmerón
Ana D. Maldonado
Andrés R. Masegosa
Rafael Rumí
author_sort María Morales
collection DOAJ
description Since the Bologna Process was adopted, continuous assessment has been a cornerstone in the curriculum of most of the courses in the different degrees offered by the Spanish Universities. Continuous assessment plays an important role in both students’ and lecturers’ academic lives. In this study, we analyze the effect of the continuous assessment on the performance of the students in their final exams in courses of Statistics at the University of Almería. Specifically, we study if the performance of a student in the continuous assessment determines the score obtained in the final exam of the course in such a way that this score can be predicted in advance using the continuous assessment performance as an explanatory variable. After using and comparing some powerful statistical procedures, such as linear, quantile and logistic regression, artificial neural networks and Bayesian networks, we conclude that, while the fact that a student passes or fails the final exam can be properly predicted, a more detailed forecast about the grade obtained is not possible.
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spelling doaj.art-6ecd16f0491e4f69ae40281b694ea2be2023-11-24T05:43:15ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902022-10-011021399410.3390/math10213994An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam MarkMaría Morales0Antonio Salmerón1Ana D. Maldonado2Andrés R. Masegosa3Rafael Rumí4Department of Mathematics, University of Almería, 04120 Almería, SpainDepartment of Mathematics, University of Almería, 04120 Almería, SpainDepartment of Mathematics, University of Almería, 04120 Almería, SpainDepartment of Computer Science, Aalborg University, 2450 Copenhagen SV, DenmarkDepartment of Mathematics, University of Almería, 04120 Almería, SpainSince the Bologna Process was adopted, continuous assessment has been a cornerstone in the curriculum of most of the courses in the different degrees offered by the Spanish Universities. Continuous assessment plays an important role in both students’ and lecturers’ academic lives. In this study, we analyze the effect of the continuous assessment on the performance of the students in their final exams in courses of Statistics at the University of Almería. Specifically, we study if the performance of a student in the continuous assessment determines the score obtained in the final exam of the course in such a way that this score can be predicted in advance using the continuous assessment performance as an explanatory variable. After using and comparing some powerful statistical procedures, such as linear, quantile and logistic regression, artificial neural networks and Bayesian networks, we conclude that, while the fact that a student passes or fails the final exam can be properly predicted, a more detailed forecast about the grade obtained is not possible.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/21/3994continuous assessmentBayesian networksartificial neural networksclassification
spellingShingle María Morales
Antonio Salmerón
Ana D. Maldonado
Andrés R. Masegosa
Rafael Rumí
An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark
Mathematics
continuous assessment
Bayesian networks
artificial neural networks
classification
title An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark
title_full An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark
title_fullStr An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark
title_full_unstemmed An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark
title_short An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Continuous Assessment on the Final Exam Mark
title_sort empirical analysis of the impact of continuous assessment on the final exam mark
topic continuous assessment
Bayesian networks
artificial neural networks
classification
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/21/3994
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