Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China

Excessive phosphorus in aquatic systems poses a threat to ecosystem stability and human health. Precipitation has a profound influence on the phosphorus biogeochemical process; however, it has been inadequately considered at the watershed scale. In this study, the Bayesian latent variable regression...

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Main Authors: Han Ding, Qiuru Ren, Chengcheng Wang, Haitao Chen, Yuqiu Wang, Zeli Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/16/2910
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author Han Ding
Qiuru Ren
Chengcheng Wang
Haitao Chen
Yuqiu Wang
Zeli Li
author_facet Han Ding
Qiuru Ren
Chengcheng Wang
Haitao Chen
Yuqiu Wang
Zeli Li
author_sort Han Ding
collection DOAJ
description Excessive phosphorus in aquatic systems poses a threat to ecosystem stability and human health. Precipitation has a profound influence on the phosphorus biogeochemical process; however, it has been inadequately considered at the watershed scale. In this study, the Bayesian latent variable regression model was utilized to quantify the impact of rainfall on the concentration of total phosphorus using daily monitoring data from 2019 to 2021. The results revealed a piecewise linear relationship between total phosphorus concentration and precipitation. It was further inferred that the breakpoint (The total rainfall during a single rainfall event equal to 39.4 ± 0.45 mm) represented the tipping point for the transformation of the primary river runoff generation mechanism. Subsequently, the excess phosphorus load caused by rainfall events was estimated in the Shahe basin by combining the regional nutrient management approach with the results of the Bayesian latent variable regression model. The results indicated that rainfall events were one of the most significant sources of TP loads from 2006 to 2017, accounting for 28.2% of the total. Non-artificial land, including farmland, forests, and grasslands, serves as the primary source of the excess phosphorus load resulting from rainfall events. This study provides insights into how to quantify the phosphorus load resulting from rainfall events at the basin scale, which is valuable for phosphorus management. Environmental managers should prioritize the regulation of phosphorus in non-artificial land moving forward. Implementing hierarchical management based on calibrated curve numbers and soil phosphorus content could prove to be an efficient approach for regulating phosphorus in the watershed.
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spelling doaj.art-6ed2bb8f1a0c4faeab020dadef004c9e2023-11-19T03:22:31ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-08-011516291010.3390/w15162910Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern ChinaHan Ding0Qiuru Ren1Chengcheng Wang2Haitao Chen3Yuqiu Wang4Zeli Li5College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nankai University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaCollege of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nankai University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaCollege of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nankai University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaCollege of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nankai University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaCollege of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nankai University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaTianjin Eco-Environmental Monitoring Center, Tianjin 300191, ChinaExcessive phosphorus in aquatic systems poses a threat to ecosystem stability and human health. Precipitation has a profound influence on the phosphorus biogeochemical process; however, it has been inadequately considered at the watershed scale. In this study, the Bayesian latent variable regression model was utilized to quantify the impact of rainfall on the concentration of total phosphorus using daily monitoring data from 2019 to 2021. The results revealed a piecewise linear relationship between total phosphorus concentration and precipitation. It was further inferred that the breakpoint (The total rainfall during a single rainfall event equal to 39.4 ± 0.45 mm) represented the tipping point for the transformation of the primary river runoff generation mechanism. Subsequently, the excess phosphorus load caused by rainfall events was estimated in the Shahe basin by combining the regional nutrient management approach with the results of the Bayesian latent variable regression model. The results indicated that rainfall events were one of the most significant sources of TP loads from 2006 to 2017, accounting for 28.2% of the total. Non-artificial land, including farmland, forests, and grasslands, serves as the primary source of the excess phosphorus load resulting from rainfall events. This study provides insights into how to quantify the phosphorus load resulting from rainfall events at the basin scale, which is valuable for phosphorus management. Environmental managers should prioritize the regulation of phosphorus in non-artificial land moving forward. Implementing hierarchical management based on calibrated curve numbers and soil phosphorus content could prove to be an efficient approach for regulating phosphorus in the watershed.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/16/2910phosphorusrainfall patternrunoff generation mechanismnonlinear
spellingShingle Han Ding
Qiuru Ren
Chengcheng Wang
Haitao Chen
Yuqiu Wang
Zeli Li
Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
Water
phosphorus
rainfall pattern
runoff generation mechanism
nonlinear
title Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
title_full Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
title_fullStr Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
title_full_unstemmed Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
title_short Rain Pattern Deeply Reshaped Total Phosphorus Load Pattern in Watershed: A Case Study from Northern China
title_sort rain pattern deeply reshaped total phosphorus load pattern in watershed a case study from northern china
topic phosphorus
rainfall pattern
runoff generation mechanism
nonlinear
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/16/2910
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AT chengchengwang rainpatterndeeplyreshapedtotalphosphorusloadpatterninwatershedacasestudyfromnorthernchina
AT haitaochen rainpatterndeeplyreshapedtotalphosphorusloadpatterninwatershedacasestudyfromnorthernchina
AT yuqiuwang rainpatterndeeplyreshapedtotalphosphorusloadpatterninwatershedacasestudyfromnorthernchina
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