A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality

Seasonality due to environmental influences often affects contact between species for food or shelter as well as the spread and persistence of diseases from those vector species. Epidemic models may capture seasonality patterns in a phenomenological way by making the epidemiological parameters and...

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Main Author: Julían Alejandro Olarte García
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sapienza Università Editrice 2023-01-01
Series:Rendiconti di Matematica e delle Sue Applicazioni
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/ricerca/rendiconti/ARCHIVIO/2023(1-2)/77-158.pdf
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author Julían Alejandro Olarte García
author_facet Julían Alejandro Olarte García
author_sort Julían Alejandro Olarte García
collection DOAJ
description Seasonality due to environmental influences often affects contact between species for food or shelter as well as the spread and persistence of diseases from those vector species. Epidemic models may capture seasonality patterns in a phenomenological way by making the epidemiological parameters and the population demographics are time-periodic. A mathematical model with these features for the dengue fever is analyzed, to such an extent that the threshold between uniform persistence and extinction of the disease is established, that is: there exists a unique positive disease-free periodic solution being globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproductive number is greater that one, but it is unstable when the basic reproductive number is less than one, in whose situation there exists at least one non-trivial positive periodic solution and dengue fever is endemic in the community. At last, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.
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spelling doaj.art-6f5997fe277b4aaf8b0a3c5cbe67846f2023-05-23T13:22:10ZengSapienza Università EditriceRendiconti di Matematica e delle Sue Applicazioni1120-71832532-33502023-01-01441-277158A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality Julían Alejandro Olarte García0Universidad del Quind´ıo, Facultad de Ciencias B´asicas y Tecnolog´ıas, Grupo de Modelaci´on Matem´atica en Epidemiolog´ıa, Armenia (Quind´ıo), 630002, ColombiaSeasonality due to environmental influences often affects contact between species for food or shelter as well as the spread and persistence of diseases from those vector species. Epidemic models may capture seasonality patterns in a phenomenological way by making the epidemiological parameters and the population demographics are time-periodic. A mathematical model with these features for the dengue fever is analyzed, to such an extent that the threshold between uniform persistence and extinction of the disease is established, that is: there exists a unique positive disease-free periodic solution being globally asymptotically stable when the basic reproductive number is greater that one, but it is unstable when the basic reproductive number is less than one, in whose situation there exists at least one non-trivial positive periodic solution and dengue fever is endemic in the community. At last, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.https://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/ricerca/rendiconti/ARCHIVIO/2023(1-2)/77-158.pdfaedes aegypti and dengueseasonalityperiodic systemstabilityextinctionpersistence
spellingShingle Julían Alejandro Olarte García
A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
Rendiconti di Matematica e delle Sue Applicazioni
aedes aegypti and dengue
seasonality
periodic system
stability
extinction
persistence
title A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
title_full A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
title_fullStr A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
title_full_unstemmed A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
title_short A nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
title_sort nonautonomous dynamical system applied to dengue seasonality
topic aedes aegypti and dengue
seasonality
periodic system
stability
extinction
persistence
url https://www1.mat.uniroma1.it/ricerca/rendiconti/ARCHIVIO/2023(1-2)/77-158.pdf
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