Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region

The estimation of minimum temperature, maximum temperature,humidity and precipitation and all other climatic variables needs a range of models depending on the time scales involved. In this research a comprehensive models to generate minimum, maximum temperature and humidity based on monthly mean va...

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Main Author: Cheleng A.Arselan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Unviversity of Technology- Iraq 2010-11-01
Series:Engineering and Technology Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://etj.uotechnology.edu.iq/article_41292_aed6c04121cd6559b62aa49f66bf06fd.pdf
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author Cheleng A.Arselan
author_facet Cheleng A.Arselan
author_sort Cheleng A.Arselan
collection DOAJ
description The estimation of minimum temperature, maximum temperature,humidity and precipitation and all other climatic variables needs a range of models depending on the time scales involved. In this research a comprehensive models to generate minimum, maximum temperature and humidity based on monthly mean values for TuzKhormatoo region were developed for 30 years ahead .All these models were depended on a previous monthly data which were documented for the period (10/1978-12/2009). The Stochastic weather generator (SWG) models were used to compute the climatic variables by adjusting the parameters appropriately for the future climates factors and then by using them toestimate maximum, minimum temperature and humidity .It was concluded from this research that there will be an increase in the monthly mean values of the maximum and minimum temperature values of this region in the future. It was concluded also due to the generation process that there is a need for highly correlated climatic variables to build such model .
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spelling doaj.art-6f8c08fc948040e98d771ae7506da2492024-02-04T17:47:04ZengUnviversity of Technology- IraqEngineering and Technology Journal1681-69002412-07582010-11-0128226496650510.30684/etj.28.22.441292Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo RegionCheleng A.ArselanThe estimation of minimum temperature, maximum temperature,humidity and precipitation and all other climatic variables needs a range of models depending on the time scales involved. In this research a comprehensive models to generate minimum, maximum temperature and humidity based on monthly mean values for TuzKhormatoo region were developed for 30 years ahead .All these models were depended on a previous monthly data which were documented for the period (10/1978-12/2009). The Stochastic weather generator (SWG) models were used to compute the climatic variables by adjusting the parameters appropriately for the future climates factors and then by using them toestimate maximum, minimum temperature and humidity .It was concluded from this research that there will be an increase in the monthly mean values of the maximum and minimum temperature values of this region in the future. It was concluded also due to the generation process that there is a need for highly correlated climatic variables to build such model .https://etj.uotechnology.edu.iq/article_41292_aed6c04121cd6559b62aa49f66bf06fd.pdfswgstochasticautocorrelaton
spellingShingle Cheleng A.Arselan
Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region
Engineering and Technology Journal
swg
stochastic
autocorrelaton
title Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region
title_full Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region
title_fullStr Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region
title_full_unstemmed Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region
title_short Climatic Change Scenario(2007-2037) For TuzKhormatoo Region
title_sort climatic change scenario 2007 2037 for tuzkhormatoo region
topic swg
stochastic
autocorrelaton
url https://etj.uotechnology.edu.iq/article_41292_aed6c04121cd6559b62aa49f66bf06fd.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT chelengaarselan climaticchangescenario20072037fortuzkhormatooregion