VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy

Land use/cover change (LUCC) refers to the phenomenon of changes in the Earth’s surface over time. Accurate prediction of LUCC is crucial for guiding policy formulation and resource management, contributing to the sustainable use of land, and maintaining the health of the Earth’s ecosystems. LUCC is...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Minghao Liu, Qingxi Luo, Jianxiang Wang, Lingbo Sun, Tingting Xu, Enming Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-03-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/13/3/100
_version_ 1797240753265573888
author Minghao Liu
Qingxi Luo
Jianxiang Wang
Lingbo Sun
Tingting Xu
Enming Wang
author_facet Minghao Liu
Qingxi Luo
Jianxiang Wang
Lingbo Sun
Tingting Xu
Enming Wang
author_sort Minghao Liu
collection DOAJ
description Land use/cover change (LUCC) refers to the phenomenon of changes in the Earth’s surface over time. Accurate prediction of LUCC is crucial for guiding policy formulation and resource management, contributing to the sustainable use of land, and maintaining the health of the Earth’s ecosystems. LUCC is a dynamic geographical process involving complex spatiotemporal dependencies. Existing LUCC simulation models suffer from insufficient spatiotemporal feature learning, and traditional cellular automaton (CA) models exhibit limitations in neighborhood effects. This study proposes a cellular automaton model based on spatiotemporal feature learning and hotspot area pre-allocation (VST-PCA). The model utilizes the video swin transformer to acquire transformation rules, enabling a more accurate capture of the spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in LUCC. Simultaneously, a pre-allocation strategy is introduced in the CA simulation to address the local constraints of neighborhood effects, thereby enhancing the simulation accuracy. Using the Chongqing metropolitan area as the study area, two traditional CA models and two deep learning-based CA models were constructed to validate the performance of the VST-PCA model. Results indicated that the proposed VST-PCA model achieved Kappa and FOM values of 0.8654 and 0.4534, respectively. Compared to other models, Kappa increased by 0.0322–0.1036, and FOM increased by 0.0513–0.1649. This study provides an accurate and effective method for LUCC simulation, offering valuable insights for future research and land management planning.
first_indexed 2024-04-24T18:12:26Z
format Article
id doaj.art-6fb49cb2b5ea45d4adaee31523f68e56
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2220-9964
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-24T18:12:26Z
publishDate 2024-03-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
spelling doaj.art-6fb49cb2b5ea45d4adaee31523f68e562024-03-27T13:44:56ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642024-03-0113310010.3390/ijgi13030100VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation StrategyMinghao Liu0Qingxi Luo1Jianxiang Wang2Lingbo Sun3Tingting Xu4Enming Wang5College of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaSchool of Software Engineering, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaCollege of Computer Science and Technology, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing 400065, ChinaLand use/cover change (LUCC) refers to the phenomenon of changes in the Earth’s surface over time. Accurate prediction of LUCC is crucial for guiding policy formulation and resource management, contributing to the sustainable use of land, and maintaining the health of the Earth’s ecosystems. LUCC is a dynamic geographical process involving complex spatiotemporal dependencies. Existing LUCC simulation models suffer from insufficient spatiotemporal feature learning, and traditional cellular automaton (CA) models exhibit limitations in neighborhood effects. This study proposes a cellular automaton model based on spatiotemporal feature learning and hotspot area pre-allocation (VST-PCA). The model utilizes the video swin transformer to acquire transformation rules, enabling a more accurate capture of the spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in LUCC. Simultaneously, a pre-allocation strategy is introduced in the CA simulation to address the local constraints of neighborhood effects, thereby enhancing the simulation accuracy. Using the Chongqing metropolitan area as the study area, two traditional CA models and two deep learning-based CA models were constructed to validate the performance of the VST-PCA model. Results indicated that the proposed VST-PCA model achieved Kappa and FOM values of 0.8654 and 0.4534, respectively. Compared to other models, Kappa increased by 0.0322–0.1036, and FOM increased by 0.0513–0.1649. This study provides an accurate and effective method for LUCC simulation, offering valuable insights for future research and land management planning.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/13/3/100land use change simulationspatiotemporal dependenceVST-PCAChongqing metropolitan area
spellingShingle Minghao Liu
Qingxi Luo
Jianxiang Wang
Lingbo Sun
Tingting Xu
Enming Wang
VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
land use change simulation
spatiotemporal dependence
VST-PCA
Chongqing metropolitan area
title VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy
title_full VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy
title_fullStr VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy
title_full_unstemmed VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy
title_short VST-PCA: A Land Use Change Simulation Model Based on Spatiotemporal Feature Extraction and Pre-Allocation Strategy
title_sort vst pca a land use change simulation model based on spatiotemporal feature extraction and pre allocation strategy
topic land use change simulation
spatiotemporal dependence
VST-PCA
Chongqing metropolitan area
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/13/3/100
work_keys_str_mv AT minghaoliu vstpcaalandusechangesimulationmodelbasedonspatiotemporalfeatureextractionandpreallocationstrategy
AT qingxiluo vstpcaalandusechangesimulationmodelbasedonspatiotemporalfeatureextractionandpreallocationstrategy
AT jianxiangwang vstpcaalandusechangesimulationmodelbasedonspatiotemporalfeatureextractionandpreallocationstrategy
AT lingbosun vstpcaalandusechangesimulationmodelbasedonspatiotemporalfeatureextractionandpreallocationstrategy
AT tingtingxu vstpcaalandusechangesimulationmodelbasedonspatiotemporalfeatureextractionandpreallocationstrategy
AT enmingwang vstpcaalandusechangesimulationmodelbasedonspatiotemporalfeatureextractionandpreallocationstrategy