Damage trends in selected forest regions and a future period forecast
The research carried out in Serbia so far revealed an increase in forest damages from natural hazards, as well as increased share in total forest damages with their territorial inequality. This research aims to determine the trend in the number and area of damages, the area of damages per o...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | srp |
| Published: |
Faculty of Forestry, Belgrade
2019-01-01
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| Series: | Glasnik Šumarskog Fakulteta: Univerzitet u Beogradu |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0353-4537/2019/0353-45371919189R.pdf |
| Summary: | The research carried out in Serbia so far revealed an increase in forest
damages from natural hazards, as well as increased share in total forest
damages with their territorial inequality. This research aims to determine
the trend in the number and area of damages, the area of damages per one
harmful event, and the prognosis of damages caused by the harmful effects of
water, wind and fire in selected forest regions of Serbia. A modelling method
was used as a basic scientific method, with an application of trend
regression and correlation analysis and other specific methods. The results of
the research indicate that there are differences in the trends per harmful
factor. An increasing trend is visible with the damages caused by the effects
of water and wind but also in the extent of damages caused by all three
detrimental factors. A decreasing trend is noticeable only for the damages
caused by fire. [Project of the Serbian Ministry of Education, Science and
Technological Development, Grant no. 43007: Studies of climate changes and
their impact on the environment - monitoring impacts, adaptation and
mitigation, sub-project no. 43007/16- III: Socio-economic development,
mitigation and adaptation to climate change] |
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| ISSN: | 0353-4537 2217-8600 |