Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.

This study estimated the risk of deterioration in the water quality of the Xochimilco aquifer, Mexico City. First, the vulnerability of the aquifer was evaluated using the Groundwater hydraulic confinement - Overlaying strata- Depth to groundwater table (GOD) method, considering a response time of l...

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Main Authors: Said Navarrete, Blanca Jiménez, Inés Navarro, Ramón Domínguez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua 2013-08-01
Series:Tecnología y ciencias del agua
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.revistatyca.org.mx/ojs/index.php/tyca/article/view/368
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author Said Navarrete
Blanca Jiménez
Inés Navarro
Ramón Domínguez
author_facet Said Navarrete
Blanca Jiménez
Inés Navarro
Ramón Domínguez
author_sort Said Navarrete
collection DOAJ
description This study estimated the risk of deterioration in the water quality of the Xochimilco aquifer, Mexico City. First, the vulnerability of the aquifer was evaluated using the Groundwater hydraulic confinement - Overlaying strata- Depth to groundwater table (GOD) method, considering a response time of less than one year. Subsequently, the correlation between maximum monthly precipitation and water quality indicators was analyzed, for conductivity and total dissolved solids (TDS) for the period 1980-2007. Then, using the PAR(2) time series model, monthly precipitation anomalies were projected using the Regionalized Climate Change Scenarios Information System (SIECCRe, Spanish acronym), based on the A2 scenario for the periods 2011-2030 and 2031-2050. These projections were used with the Gumbel mixed model to estimate conductivity and TDS values for precipitation. The analysis showed that vulnerability is high in the eastern region and low in the west, and that the aquifer responds in roughly four months. In addition, samples with elevated conductivity values were found to have an increased probability of containing fecal coliforms. Finally, for the projections for 2011-2030 and 2031-2050, the probabilities are expected to remain constant for the first period, and increase to 28% in the east and 21% in the west for the second period.
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spelling doaj.art-6fc478b357204b629717d37b18702f202023-12-14T17:12:13ZengInstituto Mexicano de Tecnología del AguaTecnología y ciencias del agua0187-83362007-24222013-08-0143103123329Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.Said Navarrete0Blanca Jiménez1Inés Navarro2Ramón Domínguez3Universidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoUniversidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoThis study estimated the risk of deterioration in the water quality of the Xochimilco aquifer, Mexico City. First, the vulnerability of the aquifer was evaluated using the Groundwater hydraulic confinement - Overlaying strata- Depth to groundwater table (GOD) method, considering a response time of less than one year. Subsequently, the correlation between maximum monthly precipitation and water quality indicators was analyzed, for conductivity and total dissolved solids (TDS) for the period 1980-2007. Then, using the PAR(2) time series model, monthly precipitation anomalies were projected using the Regionalized Climate Change Scenarios Information System (SIECCRe, Spanish acronym), based on the A2 scenario for the periods 2011-2030 and 2031-2050. These projections were used with the Gumbel mixed model to estimate conductivity and TDS values for precipitation. The analysis showed that vulnerability is high in the eastern region and low in the west, and that the aquifer responds in roughly four months. In addition, samples with elevated conductivity values were found to have an increased probability of containing fecal coliforms. Finally, for the projections for 2011-2030 and 2031-2050, the probabilities are expected to remain constant for the first period, and increase to 28% in the east and 21% in the west for the second period.https://www.revistatyca.org.mx/ojs/index.php/tyca/article/view/368acuífero, calidad del agua, cambio climático, lluvia extrema, series de tiempo, vulnerabilidad
spellingShingle Said Navarrete
Blanca Jiménez
Inés Navarro
Ramón Domínguez
Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.
Tecnología y ciencias del agua
acuífero, calidad del agua, cambio climático, lluvia extrema, series de tiempo, vulnerabilidad
title Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.
title_full Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.
title_fullStr Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.
title_short Assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the Xochimilco aquifer.
title_sort assessment of risk due to extreme rainfall for the xochimilco aquifer
topic acuífero, calidad del agua, cambio climático, lluvia extrema, series de tiempo, vulnerabilidad
url https://www.revistatyca.org.mx/ojs/index.php/tyca/article/view/368
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AT blancajimenez assessmentofriskduetoextremerainfallforthexochimilcoaquifer
AT inesnavarro assessmentofriskduetoextremerainfallforthexochimilcoaquifer
AT ramondominguez assessmentofriskduetoextremerainfallforthexochimilcoaquifer