Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media

According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis, financial market movements are dependent on news and external events that have a significant impact on the market value of companies. Thus, a great amount of applications has arisen to explore this knowledge through automatic sentiment and opinion extrac...

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Main Authors: A. E. O. Carosia, G. P. Coelho, A. E. A. Silva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2020-01-01
Series:Applied Artificial Intelligence
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08839514.2019.1673037
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author A. E. O. Carosia
G. P. Coelho
A. E. A. Silva
author_facet A. E. O. Carosia
G. P. Coelho
A. E. A. Silva
author_sort A. E. O. Carosia
collection DOAJ
description According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis, financial market movements are dependent on news and external events that have a significant impact on the market value of companies. Thus, a great amount of applications has arisen to explore this knowledge through automatic sentiment and opinion extraction. The technique known as Sentiment Analysis (SA) aims to analyze opinions, sentiments, and emotions present in unstructured data, leading many papers to address the impact of news and social media publications on the financial market. However, the literature lacks works considering the effects of sentiment available on social media and its impacts on the Brazilian stock market. This work aims to conduct a study of the Brazilian stock market movement through SA in Twitter considering tree perspectives: (i) absolute number of tweet sentiments; (ii) tweets sentiments weighted by favorites; and (iii) tweets sentiments weighted by retweets. The analyzed period was the Brazilian electoral period of 2018 (01-Oct-2018 to 31-Dec-2018). In this paper, we first developed a comparison study with SA Machine Learning techniques (Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machines, Maximum Entropy, and Multilayer Perceptron) and then applied the best algorithm to establish the relations between sentiments and the Brazilian stock market movement considering different time frames (windows sizes). Results indicate that Multilayer Perceptron was the best technique to perform SA in Portuguese. In addition, we observed that the predominant sentiment in social media relates to the stock market movement, improving accuracy as long as windows sizes are increased.
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spelling doaj.art-6fd2c4245bce4777915f773578d64ec12023-09-15T09:33:57ZengTaylor & Francis GroupApplied Artificial Intelligence0883-95141087-65452020-01-0134111910.1080/08839514.2019.16730371673037Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social MediaA. E. O. Carosia0G. P. Coelho1A. E. A. Silva2Federal Institute of São Paulo (IFSP)University of Campinas (UNICAMP)University of Campinas (UNICAMP)According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis, financial market movements are dependent on news and external events that have a significant impact on the market value of companies. Thus, a great amount of applications has arisen to explore this knowledge through automatic sentiment and opinion extraction. The technique known as Sentiment Analysis (SA) aims to analyze opinions, sentiments, and emotions present in unstructured data, leading many papers to address the impact of news and social media publications on the financial market. However, the literature lacks works considering the effects of sentiment available on social media and its impacts on the Brazilian stock market. This work aims to conduct a study of the Brazilian stock market movement through SA in Twitter considering tree perspectives: (i) absolute number of tweet sentiments; (ii) tweets sentiments weighted by favorites; and (iii) tweets sentiments weighted by retweets. The analyzed period was the Brazilian electoral period of 2018 (01-Oct-2018 to 31-Dec-2018). In this paper, we first developed a comparison study with SA Machine Learning techniques (Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machines, Maximum Entropy, and Multilayer Perceptron) and then applied the best algorithm to establish the relations between sentiments and the Brazilian stock market movement considering different time frames (windows sizes). Results indicate that Multilayer Perceptron was the best technique to perform SA in Portuguese. In addition, we observed that the predominant sentiment in social media relates to the stock market movement, improving accuracy as long as windows sizes are increased.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08839514.2019.1673037
spellingShingle A. E. O. Carosia
G. P. Coelho
A. E. A. Silva
Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media
Applied Artificial Intelligence
title Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media
title_full Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media
title_fullStr Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media
title_short Analyzing the Brazilian Financial Market through Portuguese Sentiment Analysis in Social Media
title_sort analyzing the brazilian financial market through portuguese sentiment analysis in social media
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08839514.2019.1673037
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