Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia
As one of the urban areas in Indonesia, Makassar City has been experiencing massive expansion during the past decades, resulting in land-use changes and structures in the surrounding peri-urban areas. This study examines the land-use changes and socio-economic characteristics in Makassar City since...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2023-02-01
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| Series: | Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Sciences |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110982323000042 |
| _version_ | 1797854536096808960 |
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| author | Taslim Arifin Syahrial Nur Amri Rinny Rahmania Yulius Muhammad Ramdhan Handy Chandra Luky Adrianto Dietriech Geoffrey Bengen Fery Kurniawan Rahmat Kurnia |
| author_facet | Taslim Arifin Syahrial Nur Amri Rinny Rahmania Yulius Muhammad Ramdhan Handy Chandra Luky Adrianto Dietriech Geoffrey Bengen Fery Kurniawan Rahmat Kurnia |
| author_sort | Taslim Arifin |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | As one of the urban areas in Indonesia, Makassar City has been experiencing massive expansion during the past decades, resulting in land-use changes and structures in the surrounding peri-urban areas. This study examines the land-use changes and socio-economic characteristics in Makassar City since 2001, then generates a projection of land-use changes of the next decade (the year 2031) in peri-urban areas, particularly in Tamalanrea and Biringkanaya sub-districts. Several Landsat Thematic Mapper imageries and Thematic Maps were used to analyze the land-use changes. In contrast, Cellular Automata-Markov Chain was used to simulate land-use projection and interviews to discover the community's socio-economic characteristics. According to the forecasting results, the area of built-up land was predicted to increase to 11531.4 ha or 67.27% in 2031, while the remaining vacant land (non-built-up land) was predicted to reach 5611.8 ha or 32.73%. A significant increase occurred in the total built area compared to land use conditions in 2016, and this is in line with the projected population growth amounting to 2,027,826 people by 2031. Based on these findings, the direction of coastal city development ought to be modified to restrict open land use. At the same time, spatial policies must be obeyed to prevent the loss of designated zones. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-09T20:08:44Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-6ffa78cb715448e59628214615b6e1b5 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1110-9823 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-09T20:08:44Z |
| publishDate | 2023-02-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Sciences |
| spelling | doaj.art-6ffa78cb715448e59628214615b6e1b52023-04-01T08:45:50ZengElsevierEgyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Sciences1110-98232023-02-01261197206Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, IndonesiaTaslim Arifin0Syahrial Nur Amri1Rinny Rahmania2 Yulius3Muhammad Ramdhan4Handy Chandra5Luky Adrianto6Dietriech Geoffrey Bengen7Fery Kurniawan8Rahmat Kurnia9Research Center for Conservation of Marine and Inland Water Resources, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong, Indonesia; Corresponding author at: Postal Address: Jln. Raya Bogor Km 46, Cibinong 16911, Bogor, Jawa Barat, Indonesia.Marine Research Center, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries, DKI Jakarta, IndonesiaResearch Center for Ecology and Ethnobiology, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong, IndonesiaResearch Center for Conservation of Marine and Inland Water Resources, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong, IndonesiaResearch Center for Geospatial, National Research and Innovation Agency, Cibinong, IndonesiaResearch Center for Environment and Clean Technology, National Research and Innovation Agency, Serpong, IndonesiaDepartment of Aquatic Resources Management, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences, IPB University (Bogor Agricultural University), Bogor, Indonesia; Center for Coastal and Marine Resources Studies, IPB University (Bogor Agricultural University), Bogor, IndonesiaDepartment of Marine Science and Technology, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences, IPB University (Bogor Agricultural University), Bogor, IndonesiaDepartment of Aquatic Resources Management, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences, IPB University (Bogor Agricultural University), Bogor, Indonesia; Center for Coastal and Marine Resources Studies, IPB University (Bogor Agricultural University), Bogor, IndonesiaDepartment of Aquatic Resources Management, Faculty of Fisheries and Marine Sciences, IPB University (Bogor Agricultural University), Bogor, IndonesiaAs one of the urban areas in Indonesia, Makassar City has been experiencing massive expansion during the past decades, resulting in land-use changes and structures in the surrounding peri-urban areas. This study examines the land-use changes and socio-economic characteristics in Makassar City since 2001, then generates a projection of land-use changes of the next decade (the year 2031) in peri-urban areas, particularly in Tamalanrea and Biringkanaya sub-districts. Several Landsat Thematic Mapper imageries and Thematic Maps were used to analyze the land-use changes. In contrast, Cellular Automata-Markov Chain was used to simulate land-use projection and interviews to discover the community's socio-economic characteristics. According to the forecasting results, the area of built-up land was predicted to increase to 11531.4 ha or 67.27% in 2031, while the remaining vacant land (non-built-up land) was predicted to reach 5611.8 ha or 32.73%. A significant increase occurred in the total built area compared to land use conditions in 2016, and this is in line with the projected population growth amounting to 2,027,826 people by 2031. Based on these findings, the direction of coastal city development ought to be modified to restrict open land use. At the same time, spatial policies must be obeyed to prevent the loss of designated zones.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110982323000042Cellular Automata-Markov ChainLand-use changeMakassar |
| spellingShingle | Taslim Arifin Syahrial Nur Amri Rinny Rahmania Yulius Muhammad Ramdhan Handy Chandra Luky Adrianto Dietriech Geoffrey Bengen Fery Kurniawan Rahmat Kurnia Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Sciences Cellular Automata-Markov Chain Land-use change Makassar |
| title | Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia |
| title_full | Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia |
| title_fullStr | Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia |
| title_short | Forecasting land-use changes due to coastal city development on the peri-urban area in Makassar City, Indonesia |
| title_sort | forecasting land use changes due to coastal city development on the peri urban area in makassar city indonesia |
| topic | Cellular Automata-Markov Chain Land-use change Makassar |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1110982323000042 |
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