Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach

Monetary policy is a significant component of economic management, with which we can control higher inflation, boost the economic growth and stabilize the other macroeconomic activities. This study investigates the channels of monetary policy affecting the industrial production using monthly data of...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Tariq Mahmood, Sadaf Shahab, Saad Ali Rabbani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: CSRC Publishing 2020-09-01
Series:Journal of Accounting and Finance in Emerging Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://publishing.globalcsrc.org/ojs/index.php/jafee/article/view/1351
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author Muhammad Tariq Mahmood
Sadaf Shahab
Saad Ali Rabbani
author_facet Muhammad Tariq Mahmood
Sadaf Shahab
Saad Ali Rabbani
author_sort Muhammad Tariq Mahmood
collection DOAJ
description Monetary policy is a significant component of economic management, with which we can control higher inflation, boost the economic growth and stabilize the other macroeconomic activities. This study investigates the channels of monetary policy affecting the industrial production using monthly data of Pakistan. In this regard, we have applied Bound test for co-integration to investigate the dynamic behaviour of the variables. Our results indicate that the consumer prices, money supply and money market rates are negatively effective for industrial production in the short-run. On the other hand, exchange rate has positive effect in short-run. The results also indicate that there is statistically significant and positive relationship between industrial output and money supply in the long-run, too. The adjustment mechanism suggests stability in the system and is statistically significant. Our results imply that the authorities should use expansionary monetary stance through money supply channel to boost the industrial sector.
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spelling doaj.art-6fff1b34230040e397ea37b481e9cb372022-12-21T20:56:10ZengCSRC PublishingJournal of Accounting and Finance in Emerging Economies2519-03182518-84882020-09-0163Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL ApproachMuhammad Tariq Mahmood0Sadaf Shahab1Saad Ali Rabbani2Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Federal Urdu University of AS & T, IslamabadAssistant Professor, Department of Economics, Federal Urdu University of AS & T, IslamabadMPhil Scholar, Department of Economics, Federal Urdu University of AS & T, IslamabadMonetary policy is a significant component of economic management, with which we can control higher inflation, boost the economic growth and stabilize the other macroeconomic activities. This study investigates the channels of monetary policy affecting the industrial production using monthly data of Pakistan. In this regard, we have applied Bound test for co-integration to investigate the dynamic behaviour of the variables. Our results indicate that the consumer prices, money supply and money market rates are negatively effective for industrial production in the short-run. On the other hand, exchange rate has positive effect in short-run. The results also indicate that there is statistically significant and positive relationship between industrial output and money supply in the long-run, too. The adjustment mechanism suggests stability in the system and is statistically significant. Our results imply that the authorities should use expansionary monetary stance through money supply channel to boost the industrial sector.https://publishing.globalcsrc.org/ojs/index.php/jafee/article/view/1351Monetary policy, Industrial production, ARDL, expansionary
spellingShingle Muhammad Tariq Mahmood
Sadaf Shahab
Saad Ali Rabbani
Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach
Journal of Accounting and Finance in Emerging Economies
Monetary policy, Industrial production, ARDL, expansionary
title Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach
title_full Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach
title_fullStr Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach
title_short Monetary Policy Channels and Industrial Production in Pakistan: Evidences based on ARDL Approach
title_sort monetary policy channels and industrial production in pakistan evidences based on ardl approach
topic Monetary policy, Industrial production, ARDL, expansionary
url https://publishing.globalcsrc.org/ojs/index.php/jafee/article/view/1351
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AT sadafshahab monetarypolicychannelsandindustrialproductioninpakistanevidencesbasedonardlapproach
AT saadalirabbani monetarypolicychannelsandindustrialproductioninpakistanevidencesbasedonardlapproach