Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning

Time series are the natural way for accessing information about dynamical systems or processes in a variety of scientific, engineering and financial applications. Due to their complexity, the use of data-driven methods is imperative. An example of this method is the symbolic dynamic filtering (SDF)...

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Main Authors: Higor Dos Santos, Daniel P. B. Chaves, Cecilio Pimentel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2024-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10418998/
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author Higor Dos Santos
Daniel P. B. Chaves
Cecilio Pimentel
author_facet Higor Dos Santos
Daniel P. B. Chaves
Cecilio Pimentel
author_sort Higor Dos Santos
collection DOAJ
description Time series are the natural way for accessing information about dynamical systems or processes in a variety of scientific, engineering and financial applications. Due to their complexity, the use of data-driven methods is imperative. An example of this method is the symbolic dynamic filtering (SDF) technique, which involves the determination of Markovian models to express the causal structure of the observed dynamic behavior. This technique simplifies the data complexity by encapsulating the fundamental dynamics of the system into a symbolic sequence. The traditional application of SDF in time series analysis typically entails constructing a probabilistic finite state automaton (PFSA) based on an observed symbolic sequence. We propose a new algorithm for obtaining PFSAs models based on variable length Markov chains, machine learning algorithms and graph minimization techniques. To validate the algorithm, we provide modeling examples from simulated and experimental dataset, showing that the obtained model is superior to those generated by alternative techniques. Finally, we apply the proposed framework for anomalous detection of rotating machines.
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spelling doaj.art-703b2aecd0fe4c1980a8eaa8cb1539a02024-02-09T00:03:31ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362024-01-0112197781978910.1109/ACCESS.2024.336183910418998Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine LearningHigor Dos Santos0https://orcid.org/0009-0008-5719-1684Daniel P. B. Chaves1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4345-4320Cecilio Pimentel2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2632-919XDepartment of Electronics and Systems, Federal University of Pernambuco, Recife, BrazilDepartment of Electronics and Systems, Federal University of Pernambuco, Recife, BrazilDepartment of Electronics and Systems, Federal University of Pernambuco, Recife, BrazilTime series are the natural way for accessing information about dynamical systems or processes in a variety of scientific, engineering and financial applications. Due to their complexity, the use of data-driven methods is imperative. An example of this method is the symbolic dynamic filtering (SDF) technique, which involves the determination of Markovian models to express the causal structure of the observed dynamic behavior. This technique simplifies the data complexity by encapsulating the fundamental dynamics of the system into a symbolic sequence. The traditional application of SDF in time series analysis typically entails constructing a probabilistic finite state automaton (PFSA) based on an observed symbolic sequence. We propose a new algorithm for obtaining PFSAs models based on variable length Markov chains, machine learning algorithms and graph minimization techniques. To validate the algorithm, we provide modeling examples from simulated and experimental dataset, showing that the obtained model is superior to those generated by alternative techniques. Finally, we apply the proposed framework for anomalous detection of rotating machines.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10418998/Anomaly detectionclusteringgraph minimizationprobabilistic finite state automatontime series analysisvariable length Markov models
spellingShingle Higor Dos Santos
Daniel P. B. Chaves
Cecilio Pimentel
Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning
IEEE Access
Anomaly detection
clustering
graph minimization
probabilistic finite state automaton
time series analysis
variable length Markov models
title Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning
title_full Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning
title_fullStr Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning
title_full_unstemmed Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning
title_short Symbolic Dynamical Filtering via Variable Length Markov Model and Machine Learning
title_sort symbolic dynamical filtering via variable length markov model and machine learning
topic Anomaly detection
clustering
graph minimization
probabilistic finite state automaton
time series analysis
variable length Markov models
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10418998/
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AT ceciliopimentel symbolicdynamicalfilteringviavariablelengthmarkovmodelandmachinelearning