Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The aim of this paper is to analyze changes in thyroid cancer incidence trends in Lithuania during the period 1978–2003 using joinpoint regression models, with special attention to the period 1993–2003.</p> <p>Methods<...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kurtinaitis Juozas, Miseikyte-Kaubriene Edita, Smailyte Giedre
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2006-12-01
Series:BMC Cancer
Online Access:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2407/6/284
_version_ 1818514408013299712
author Kurtinaitis Juozas
Miseikyte-Kaubriene Edita
Smailyte Giedre
author_facet Kurtinaitis Juozas
Miseikyte-Kaubriene Edita
Smailyte Giedre
author_sort Kurtinaitis Juozas
collection DOAJ
description <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The aim of this paper is to analyze changes in thyroid cancer incidence trends in Lithuania during the period 1978–2003 using joinpoint regression models, with special attention to the period 1993–2003.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The study was based on all cases of thyroid cancer reported to the Lithuanian Cancer Registry between 1978 and 2003. Age group-specific rates and standardized rates were calculated for each gender, using the direct method (world standard population). The joinpoint regression model was used to provide estimated annual percentage change and to detect points in time where significant changes in the trends occur.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>During the study period the age-standardized incidence rates increased in males from 0.7 to 2.5 cases per 100 000 and in females from 1.5 to 11.4 per 100 000. Annual percentage changes during this period in the age-standardized rates were 4.6% and 7.1% for males and females, respectively. Joinpoint analysis showed two time periods with joinpoint in the year 2000. A change in the trend occurred in which a significant increase changed to a dramatic increase in thyroid cancer incidence rates. Papillary carcinoma and stage I thyroid cancer increases over this period were mainly responsible for the pattern of changes in trend in recent years.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>A moderate increase in thyroid cancer incidence has been observed in Lithuania between the years 1978 and 2000. An accelerated increase in thyroid cancer incidence rates took place in the period 2000–2003. It seems that the increase in thyroid cancer incidence can be attributed mainly to the changes in the management of non palpable thyroid nodules with growing applications of ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration biopsy in clinical practice.</p>
first_indexed 2024-12-11T00:15:20Z
format Article
id doaj.art-70456a9079284da6bce3dfaeb6272a22
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1471-2407
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-11T00:15:20Z
publishDate 2006-12-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Cancer
spelling doaj.art-70456a9079284da6bce3dfaeb6272a222022-12-22T01:27:59ZengBMCBMC Cancer1471-24072006-12-016128410.1186/1471-2407-6-284Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003Kurtinaitis JuozasMiseikyte-Kaubriene EditaSmailyte Giedre<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>The aim of this paper is to analyze changes in thyroid cancer incidence trends in Lithuania during the period 1978–2003 using joinpoint regression models, with special attention to the period 1993–2003.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The study was based on all cases of thyroid cancer reported to the Lithuanian Cancer Registry between 1978 and 2003. Age group-specific rates and standardized rates were calculated for each gender, using the direct method (world standard population). The joinpoint regression model was used to provide estimated annual percentage change and to detect points in time where significant changes in the trends occur.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>During the study period the age-standardized incidence rates increased in males from 0.7 to 2.5 cases per 100 000 and in females from 1.5 to 11.4 per 100 000. Annual percentage changes during this period in the age-standardized rates were 4.6% and 7.1% for males and females, respectively. Joinpoint analysis showed two time periods with joinpoint in the year 2000. A change in the trend occurred in which a significant increase changed to a dramatic increase in thyroid cancer incidence rates. Papillary carcinoma and stage I thyroid cancer increases over this period were mainly responsible for the pattern of changes in trend in recent years.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>A moderate increase in thyroid cancer incidence has been observed in Lithuania between the years 1978 and 2000. An accelerated increase in thyroid cancer incidence rates took place in the period 2000–2003. It seems that the increase in thyroid cancer incidence can be attributed mainly to the changes in the management of non palpable thyroid nodules with growing applications of ultrasound-guided fine needle aspiration biopsy in clinical practice.</p>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2407/6/284
spellingShingle Kurtinaitis Juozas
Miseikyte-Kaubriene Edita
Smailyte Giedre
Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003
BMC Cancer
title Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003
title_full Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003
title_fullStr Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003
title_full_unstemmed Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003
title_short Increasing thyroid cancer incidence in Lithuania in 1978–2003
title_sort increasing thyroid cancer incidence in lithuania in 1978 2003
url http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2407/6/284
work_keys_str_mv AT kurtinaitisjuozas increasingthyroidcancerincidenceinlithuaniain19782003
AT miseikytekaubrieneedita increasingthyroidcancerincidenceinlithuaniain19782003
AT smailytegiedre increasingthyroidcancerincidenceinlithuaniain19782003