Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change
Background: <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> are morphologically similar and are considered to be effective vectors of malaria transmission in northeastern India. Environmental factors such as temperature and rainfall have a significant impact on t...
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MDPI AG
2021-10-01
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| Series: | Biology |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-7737/10/10/998 |
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| author | Chao Li Yuan Gao Nan Chang Delong Ma Ruobing Zhou Zhe Zhao Jun Wang Qinfeng Zhang Qiyong Liu |
| author_facet | Chao Li Yuan Gao Nan Chang Delong Ma Ruobing Zhou Zhe Zhao Jun Wang Qinfeng Zhang Qiyong Liu |
| author_sort | Chao Li |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background: <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> are morphologically similar and are considered to be effective vectors of malaria transmission in northeastern India. Environmental factors such as temperature and rainfall have a significant impact on the temporal and spatial distribution of disease vectors driven by future climate change. Methods: In this study, we used the maximum entropy model to predict the potential global distribution of the two mosquito species in the near future and the trend of future distribution in China. Based on the contribution rate of environmental factors, we analyzed the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of the two mosquito species. We also constructed a disease vector risk assessment index system to calculate the comprehensive risk value of the invasive species. Results: Precipitation has a significant effect on the distribution of potentially suitable areas for <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i>. The two mosquito species may spread in the suitable areas of China in the future. The results of the risk assessment index system showed that the two mosquito species belong to the moderate invasion risk level for China. Conclusions: China should improve the mosquito vector monitoring system, formulate scientific prevention and control strategies and strictly prevent foreign imports. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T06:43:28Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7047b5bae65d4c41aa2299754e515a75 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2079-7737 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T06:43:28Z |
| publishDate | 2021-10-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Biology |
| spelling | doaj.art-7047b5bae65d4c41aa2299754e515a752023-11-22T17:28:11ZengMDPI AGBiology2079-77372021-10-01101099810.3390/biology10100998Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate ChangeChao Li0Yuan Gao1Nan Chang2Delong Ma3Ruobing Zhou4Zhe Zhao5Jun Wang6Qinfeng Zhang7Qiyong Liu8School of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan 250000, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing 102206, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing 102206, ChinaSchool of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan 250000, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing 102206, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing 102206, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing 102206, ChinaSchool of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan 250000, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Beijing 102206, ChinaBackground: <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> are morphologically similar and are considered to be effective vectors of malaria transmission in northeastern India. Environmental factors such as temperature and rainfall have a significant impact on the temporal and spatial distribution of disease vectors driven by future climate change. Methods: In this study, we used the maximum entropy model to predict the potential global distribution of the two mosquito species in the near future and the trend of future distribution in China. Based on the contribution rate of environmental factors, we analyzed the main environmental factors affecting the distribution of the two mosquito species. We also constructed a disease vector risk assessment index system to calculate the comprehensive risk value of the invasive species. Results: Precipitation has a significant effect on the distribution of potentially suitable areas for <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i>. The two mosquito species may spread in the suitable areas of China in the future. The results of the risk assessment index system showed that the two mosquito species belong to the moderate invasion risk level for China. Conclusions: China should improve the mosquito vector monitoring system, formulate scientific prevention and control strategies and strictly prevent foreign imports.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-7737/10/10/998<i>Anopheles</i>climate changepotential suitable areasrisk assessment |
| spellingShingle | Chao Li Yuan Gao Nan Chang Delong Ma Ruobing Zhou Zhe Zhao Jun Wang Qinfeng Zhang Qiyong Liu Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change Biology <i>Anopheles</i> climate change potential suitable areas risk assessment |
| title | Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change |
| title_full | Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change |
| title_fullStr | Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change |
| title_short | Risk Assessment of <i>Anopheles philippinensis</i> and <i>Anopheles nivipes</i> (Diptera: Culicidae) Invading China under Climate Change |
| title_sort | risk assessment of i anopheles philippinensis i and i anopheles nivipes i diptera culicidae invading china under climate change |
| topic | <i>Anopheles</i> climate change potential suitable areas risk assessment |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-7737/10/10/998 |
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