Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]

Many authors have hoped to understand the indicative conditional construction in everyday language by means of what are usually called conditional probabilities. Other authors have hoped to make sense of conditional probabilities in terms of the absolute probabilities of conditional statements. Alth...

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Main Author: David Miller
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte 2016-06-01
Series:Princípios
Subjects:
Online Access:https://periodicos.ufrn.br/principios/article/view/7481
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author David Miller
author_facet David Miller
author_sort David Miller
collection DOAJ
description Many authors have hoped to understand the indicative conditional construction in everyday language by means of what are usually called conditional probabilities. Other authors have hoped to make sense of conditional probabilities in terms of the absolute probabilities of conditional statements. Although all such hopes were disappointed by the triviality theorems of Lewis (1976), there have been copious subsequent attempts both to rescue CCCP (the conditional construal of conditional probability) and to extend and to intensify the arguments against it. In this paper it will be shown that triviality is avoidable if the probability function is replaced by an alternative generalization of the deducibility relation, the measure of deductive dependence of Miller and Popper (1986). It will be suggested further that this alternative way of orchestrating conditionals is nicely in harmony with the test proposed in Ramsey (1931), and also with the idea that it is not the truth value of a conditional statement that is of primary concern but its assertability or acceptability.
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spelling doaj.art-7070f6624bb44ddfaa891e288fca0a362022-12-22T02:48:17ZdeuUniversidade Federal do Rio Grande do NortePrincípios0104-86941983-21092016-06-0123409276818Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]David Miller0University of WarwickMany authors have hoped to understand the indicative conditional construction in everyday language by means of what are usually called conditional probabilities. Other authors have hoped to make sense of conditional probabilities in terms of the absolute probabilities of conditional statements. Although all such hopes were disappointed by the triviality theorems of Lewis (1976), there have been copious subsequent attempts both to rescue CCCP (the conditional construal of conditional probability) and to extend and to intensify the arguments against it. In this paper it will be shown that triviality is avoidable if the probability function is replaced by an alternative generalization of the deducibility relation, the measure of deductive dependence of Miller and Popper (1986). It will be suggested further that this alternative way of orchestrating conditionals is nicely in harmony with the test proposed in Ramsey (1931), and also with the idea that it is not the truth value of a conditional statement that is of primary concern but its assertability or acceptability.https://periodicos.ufrn.br/principios/article/view/7481Indicative conditionalsProbabilityTrivialityDeductive dependenceAdamsLewisRamseyStalnaker
spellingShingle David Miller
Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
Princípios
Indicative conditionals
Probability
Triviality
Deductive dependence
Adams
Lewis
Ramsey
Stalnaker
title Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
title_full Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
title_fullStr Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
title_full_unstemmed Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
title_short Reconditioning the conditional [Recondicionando o condicional]
title_sort reconditioning the conditional recondicionando o condicional
topic Indicative conditionals
Probability
Triviality
Deductive dependence
Adams
Lewis
Ramsey
Stalnaker
url https://periodicos.ufrn.br/principios/article/view/7481
work_keys_str_mv AT davidmiller reconditioningtheconditionalrecondicionandoocondicional