Chimeric Forecasting: An experiment to leverage human judgment to improve forecasts of infectious disease using simulated surveillance data
Forecasts of infectious agents provide public health officials advanced warning about the intensity and timing of the spread of disease. Past work has found that accuracy and calibration of forecasts is weakest when attempting to predict an epidemic peak. Forecasts from a mechanistic model would be...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2024-06-01
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| Series: | Epidemics |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436524000173 |