A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) combined with the L1 penalty (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator/LASSO) is called LASSO GLMM. LASSO GLMM reduces overfitting and selects predictor variables in modeling. The aim of this study is to evaluate the model's performance for predicti...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Alona Dwinata, Khairil Anwar Notodiputro, Bagus Sartono
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mathematics Department UIN Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang 2021-11-01
Series:Cauchy: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/11575
_version_ 1811337835271159808
author Alona Dwinata
Khairil Anwar Notodiputro
Bagus Sartono
author_facet Alona Dwinata
Khairil Anwar Notodiputro
Bagus Sartono
author_sort Alona Dwinata
collection DOAJ
description Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) combined with the L1 penalty (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator/LASSO) is called LASSO GLMM. LASSO GLMM reduces overfitting and selects predictor variables in modeling. The aim of this study is to evaluate the model's performance for predicting Covid-19 patients with certain congenital disease that require ICU based on the results of blood tests laboratory and patient’s vital signs. This study used binary response variables, 1 if the patient was admitted to the ICU and 0 if the patient was not admitted to the ICU. The fixed effect predictor variables are the results of blood tests laboratory and patient’s vital signs. The random effect predictor variable is patient's congenital disease. The result showed that the average of accuracy and AUC from LASSO GLMM is more than the average of accuracy and AUC from LASSO GLM by using 5% level of significance. Respiratory rate and Lactate show a significance effect to predict the ICU needs of Covid-19 patients. The random effects patient's congenital disease has significance effect at 5% level of significance. It means that the ICU needs for Covid-19 patients varies among patient's congenital disease. We can conclude that GLMM LASSO with the random effect of patient’s congenital diseases has better modeling performance to predict the ICU needs of Covid-19 patients based on the results of blood tests laboratory and patient’s vital signs. The results of this modeling can quickly detect Covid-19 patients who need the ICU and can help medical staff use ICU resources optimally
first_indexed 2024-04-13T18:00:44Z
format Article
id doaj.art-7083b4a5abcf44c7aa20f9a64380b728
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2086-0382
2477-3344
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-13T18:00:44Z
publishDate 2021-11-01
publisher Mathematics Department UIN Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang
record_format Article
series Cauchy: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
spelling doaj.art-7083b4a5abcf44c7aa20f9a64380b7282022-12-22T02:36:15ZengMathematics Department UIN Maulana Malik Ibrahim MalangCauchy: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi2086-03822477-33442021-11-0171132110.18860/ca.v7i1.115755874A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care UnitsAlona Dwinata0Khairil Anwar Notodiputro1Bagus Sartono2Raja Ali Haji Maritime UniversityIPB UniversityIPB UniversityGeneralized linear mixed models (GLMM) combined with the L1 penalty (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator/LASSO) is called LASSO GLMM. LASSO GLMM reduces overfitting and selects predictor variables in modeling. The aim of this study is to evaluate the model's performance for predicting Covid-19 patients with certain congenital disease that require ICU based on the results of blood tests laboratory and patient’s vital signs. This study used binary response variables, 1 if the patient was admitted to the ICU and 0 if the patient was not admitted to the ICU. The fixed effect predictor variables are the results of blood tests laboratory and patient’s vital signs. The random effect predictor variable is patient's congenital disease. The result showed that the average of accuracy and AUC from LASSO GLMM is more than the average of accuracy and AUC from LASSO GLM by using 5% level of significance. Respiratory rate and Lactate show a significance effect to predict the ICU needs of Covid-19 patients. The random effects patient's congenital disease has significance effect at 5% level of significance. It means that the ICU needs for Covid-19 patients varies among patient's congenital disease. We can conclude that GLMM LASSO with the random effect of patient’s congenital diseases has better modeling performance to predict the ICU needs of Covid-19 patients based on the results of blood tests laboratory and patient’s vital signs. The results of this modeling can quickly detect Covid-19 patients who need the ICU and can help medical staff use ICU resources optimallyhttps://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/11575covid 19glmmglmmlassolasso
spellingShingle Alona Dwinata
Khairil Anwar Notodiputro
Bagus Sartono
A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units
Cauchy: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
covid 19
glmm
glmmlasso
lasso
title A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units
title_full A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units
title_fullStr A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units
title_full_unstemmed A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units
title_short A Combination of Generalized Linear Mixed Model and LASSO Methods for Estimating Number of Patients Covid 19 in the Intensive Care Units
title_sort combination of generalized linear mixed model and lasso methods for estimating number of patients covid 19 in the intensive care units
topic covid 19
glmm
glmmlasso
lasso
url https://ejournal.uin-malang.ac.id/index.php/Math/article/view/11575
work_keys_str_mv AT alonadwinata acombinationofgeneralizedlinearmixedmodelandlassomethodsforestimatingnumberofpatientscovid19intheintensivecareunits
AT khairilanwarnotodiputro acombinationofgeneralizedlinearmixedmodelandlassomethodsforestimatingnumberofpatientscovid19intheintensivecareunits
AT bagussartono acombinationofgeneralizedlinearmixedmodelandlassomethodsforestimatingnumberofpatientscovid19intheintensivecareunits
AT alonadwinata combinationofgeneralizedlinearmixedmodelandlassomethodsforestimatingnumberofpatientscovid19intheintensivecareunits
AT khairilanwarnotodiputro combinationofgeneralizedlinearmixedmodelandlassomethodsforestimatingnumberofpatientscovid19intheintensivecareunits
AT bagussartono combinationofgeneralizedlinearmixedmodelandlassomethodsforestimatingnumberofpatientscovid19intheintensivecareunits