Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China
With the rapid improvement in socioeconomic conditions globally, the demand for water resources has dramatically increased. Evaluating water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) is crucial for regional sustainable development. To date, limited attention has been paid to WRCC in areas of predominantly s...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
IWA Publishing
2022-09-01
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| Series: | Water Supply |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://ws.iwaponline.com/content/22/9/7256 |
| _version_ | 1811249501687513088 |
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| author | Luyao Liu Xue Xu Jiaru Wu Scott Jarvie Fengshi Li Peng Han Qing Zhang |
| author_facet | Luyao Liu Xue Xu Jiaru Wu Scott Jarvie Fengshi Li Peng Han Qing Zhang |
| author_sort | Luyao Liu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | With the rapid improvement in socioeconomic conditions globally, the demand for water resources has dramatically increased. Evaluating water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) is crucial for regional sustainable development. To date, limited attention has been paid to WRCC in areas of predominantly sandy land, with the impact of vegetation restoration in ecologically degraded areas on WRCC remaining unclear. In this study, using a comprehensive evaluation index and a system dynamics model, we evaluated the WRCC of the Mu Us Sandy Land, Inner Mongolia, China, from 2000 to 2019 then projected to 2030. Our results show WRCC has decreased since 2000, reaching a general state by 2019. In a future scenario where historical development remains unabated, WRCC will continue to decline to a poor carrying state by 2030. The comprehensive scheme based on industrial restructuring and water conservation performed the best in terms of WRCC, continuously increasing and returning to a general carrying state by 2030. Our findings highlight the WRCC of the Mu Us Sandy Land is not optimistic and subsequent ecological restoration should proceed with caution. A comprehensive scheme is an optimal development strategy for the future.
HIGHLIGHTS
Water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) in the Mu Us Sandy Land has decreased since 2000.;
An increase of vegetation is one reason for the decline of WRCC.;
The WRCC based on industrial restructuring and water conservation is optimal.;
Ecological restoration of Mu Us Sandy Land should proceed with caution.; |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T15:47:28Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-709ff8d94d5c423db10c90821e92c2a9 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1606-9749 1607-0798 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T15:47:28Z |
| publishDate | 2022-09-01 |
| publisher | IWA Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Water Supply |
| spelling | doaj.art-709ff8d94d5c423db10c90821e92c2a92022-12-22T03:26:36ZengIWA PublishingWater Supply1606-97491607-07982022-09-012297256727110.2166/ws.2022.304304Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, ChinaLuyao Liu0Xue Xu1Jiaru Wu2Scott Jarvie3Fengshi Li4Peng Han5Qing Zhang6 Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resource Use of the Mongolian Plateau, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resource Use of the Mongolian Plateau, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resource Use of the Mongolian Plateau, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China Otago Regional Council, Dunedin 9016, New Zealand Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resource Use of the Mongolian Plateau, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resource Use of the Mongolian Plateau, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Ecology and Resource Use of the Mongolian Plateau, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China With the rapid improvement in socioeconomic conditions globally, the demand for water resources has dramatically increased. Evaluating water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) is crucial for regional sustainable development. To date, limited attention has been paid to WRCC in areas of predominantly sandy land, with the impact of vegetation restoration in ecologically degraded areas on WRCC remaining unclear. In this study, using a comprehensive evaluation index and a system dynamics model, we evaluated the WRCC of the Mu Us Sandy Land, Inner Mongolia, China, from 2000 to 2019 then projected to 2030. Our results show WRCC has decreased since 2000, reaching a general state by 2019. In a future scenario where historical development remains unabated, WRCC will continue to decline to a poor carrying state by 2030. The comprehensive scheme based on industrial restructuring and water conservation performed the best in terms of WRCC, continuously increasing and returning to a general carrying state by 2030. Our findings highlight the WRCC of the Mu Us Sandy Land is not optimistic and subsequent ecological restoration should proceed with caution. A comprehensive scheme is an optimal development strategy for the future. HIGHLIGHTS Water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) in the Mu Us Sandy Land has decreased since 2000.; An increase of vegetation is one reason for the decline of WRCC.; The WRCC based on industrial restructuring and water conservation is optimal.; Ecological restoration of Mu Us Sandy Land should proceed with caution.;http://ws.iwaponline.com/content/22/9/7256analytic hierarchy processecological restorationentropy weightsystem dynamics modelwater resources policy optimization |
| spellingShingle | Luyao Liu Xue Xu Jiaru Wu Scott Jarvie Fengshi Li Peng Han Qing Zhang Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China Water Supply analytic hierarchy process ecological restoration entropy weight system dynamics model water resources policy optimization |
| title | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China |
| title_full | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China |
| title_fullStr | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China |
| title_short | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in Mu Us Sandy Land, China |
| title_sort | comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation of carrying capacity of water resources in mu us sandy land china |
| topic | analytic hierarchy process ecological restoration entropy weight system dynamics model water resources policy optimization |
| url | http://ws.iwaponline.com/content/22/9/7256 |
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