Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream

<p>The Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS) currently drains more than <span class="inline-formula">10</span>&thinsp;% of the Greenland Ice Sheet area and has recently undergone significant dynamic changes. It is therefore critical to accurately represent this featu...

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Main Authors: S. Smith-Johnsen, B. de Fleurian, N. Schlegel, H. Seroussi, K. Nisancioglu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2020-03-01
Series:The Cryosphere
Online Access:https://www.the-cryosphere.net/14/841/2020/tc-14-841-2020.pdf
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author S. Smith-Johnsen
B. de Fleurian
N. Schlegel
H. Seroussi
K. Nisancioglu
K. Nisancioglu
author_facet S. Smith-Johnsen
B. de Fleurian
N. Schlegel
H. Seroussi
K. Nisancioglu
K. Nisancioglu
author_sort S. Smith-Johnsen
collection DOAJ
description <p>The Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS) currently drains more than <span class="inline-formula">10</span>&thinsp;% of the Greenland Ice Sheet area and has recently undergone significant dynamic changes. It is therefore critical to accurately represent this feature when assessing the future contribution of Greenland to sea level rise. At present, NEGIS is reproduced in ice sheet models by inferring basal conditions using observed surface velocities. This approach helps estimate conditions at the base of the ice sheet but cannot be used to estimate the evolution of basal drag in time, so it is not a good representation of the evolution of the ice sheet in future climate warming scenarios. NEGIS is suggested to be initiated by a geothermal heat flux anomaly close to the ice divide, left behind by the movement of Greenland over the Icelandic plume. However, the heat flux underneath the ice sheet is largely unknown, except for a few direct measurements from deep ice core drill sites. Using the Ice Sheet System Model (ISSM), with ice dynamics coupled to a subglacial hydrology model, we investigate the possibility of initiating NEGIS by inserting heat flux anomalies with various locations and intensities. In our model experiment, a minimum heat flux value of <span class="inline-formula">970</span>&thinsp;mW&thinsp;m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span> located close to the East Greenland Ice-core Project (EGRIP) is required locally to reproduce the observed NEGIS velocities, giving basal melt rates consistent with previous estimates. The value cannot be attributed to geothermal heat flux alone and we suggest hydrothermal circulation as a potential explanation for the high local heat flux. By including high heat flux and the effect of water on sliding, we successfully reproduce the main characteristics of NEGIS in an ice sheet model without using data assimilation.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-70a6ef54f17440f68210124ad57f2c852022-12-22T00:19:55ZengCopernicus PublicationsThe Cryosphere1994-04161994-04242020-03-011484185410.5194/tc-14-841-2020Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice StreamS. Smith-Johnsen0B. de Fleurian1N. Schlegel2H. Seroussi3K. Nisancioglu4K. Nisancioglu5Department of Earth Science, University of Bergen, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, NorwayDepartment of Earth Science, University of Bergen, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, NorwayJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USAJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, USADepartment of Earth Science, University of Bergen, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, NorwayCentre for Earth Evolution and Dynamics, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway<p>The Northeast Greenland Ice Stream (NEGIS) currently drains more than <span class="inline-formula">10</span>&thinsp;% of the Greenland Ice Sheet area and has recently undergone significant dynamic changes. It is therefore critical to accurately represent this feature when assessing the future contribution of Greenland to sea level rise. At present, NEGIS is reproduced in ice sheet models by inferring basal conditions using observed surface velocities. This approach helps estimate conditions at the base of the ice sheet but cannot be used to estimate the evolution of basal drag in time, so it is not a good representation of the evolution of the ice sheet in future climate warming scenarios. NEGIS is suggested to be initiated by a geothermal heat flux anomaly close to the ice divide, left behind by the movement of Greenland over the Icelandic plume. However, the heat flux underneath the ice sheet is largely unknown, except for a few direct measurements from deep ice core drill sites. Using the Ice Sheet System Model (ISSM), with ice dynamics coupled to a subglacial hydrology model, we investigate the possibility of initiating NEGIS by inserting heat flux anomalies with various locations and intensities. In our model experiment, a minimum heat flux value of <span class="inline-formula">970</span>&thinsp;mW&thinsp;m<span class="inline-formula"><sup>−2</sup></span> located close to the East Greenland Ice-core Project (EGRIP) is required locally to reproduce the observed NEGIS velocities, giving basal melt rates consistent with previous estimates. The value cannot be attributed to geothermal heat flux alone and we suggest hydrothermal circulation as a potential explanation for the high local heat flux. By including high heat flux and the effect of water on sliding, we successfully reproduce the main characteristics of NEGIS in an ice sheet model without using data assimilation.</p>https://www.the-cryosphere.net/14/841/2020/tc-14-841-2020.pdf
spellingShingle S. Smith-Johnsen
B. de Fleurian
N. Schlegel
H. Seroussi
K. Nisancioglu
K. Nisancioglu
Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
The Cryosphere
title Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
title_full Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
title_fullStr Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
title_full_unstemmed Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
title_short Exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the Northeast Greenland Ice Stream
title_sort exceptionally high heat flux needed to sustain the northeast greenland ice stream
url https://www.the-cryosphere.net/14/841/2020/tc-14-841-2020.pdf
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