Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?

Existing research about China and Taiwan deals primarily with bilateral relations, military doctrines, etc. They don't pay much attention to the consequences of the potential China-Taiwan war. The article examines conditions for emerging and activity of guerillas with paramilitant signs in the...

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Main Author: Richard Oubělický
Format: Article
Language:ces
Published: Ministry of Defence of the Czech Republic 2023-03-01
Series:Vojenské rozhledy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vojenskerozhledy.cz/en/kategorie/analyza-potencialu-guerilly
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author Richard Oubělický
author_facet Richard Oubělický
author_sort Richard Oubělický
collection DOAJ
description Existing research about China and Taiwan deals primarily with bilateral relations, military doctrines, etc. They don't pay much attention to the consequences of the potential China-Taiwan war. The article examines conditions for emerging and activity of guerillas with paramilitant signs in the case of China's domination over Taiwan. The analysis is based on the present general, socio-economic, political, geographical, and technological environment. A substantial part of the analysis is also argumentation about the potential of urban guerilla. The article is based on data, pieces of information, polls and academic and analytical texts relevant to the main research questions. Those questions are the potential for emerging, sustainability, and effectiveness of guerilla. The article comes with findings, that argue the relatively high potential for the emergence of guerilla primarily because of the suitable environment in Taiwan and possible effectiveness and sustainability based on existing variables, which can however also limit this potential.
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spelling doaj.art-70ae682c440442fb90bd95f84b88d9892023-04-18T07:15:04ZcesMinistry of Defence of the Czech RepublicVojenské rozhledy1210-32922336-29952023-03-01321354910.3849/2336-2995.32.2023.01.035-049Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?Richard Oubělický0Masaryk UniversityExisting research about China and Taiwan deals primarily with bilateral relations, military doctrines, etc. They don't pay much attention to the consequences of the potential China-Taiwan war. The article examines conditions for emerging and activity of guerillas with paramilitant signs in the case of China's domination over Taiwan. The analysis is based on the present general, socio-economic, political, geographical, and technological environment. A substantial part of the analysis is also argumentation about the potential of urban guerilla. The article is based on data, pieces of information, polls and academic and analytical texts relevant to the main research questions. Those questions are the potential for emerging, sustainability, and effectiveness of guerilla. The article comes with findings, that argue the relatively high potential for the emergence of guerilla primarily because of the suitable environment in Taiwan and possible effectiveness and sustainability based on existing variables, which can however also limit this potential.https://www.vojenskerozhledy.cz/en/kategorie/analyza-potencialu-guerillyanalysischinaguerillaparamilitary strategytaiwan
spellingShingle Richard Oubělický
Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?
Vojenské rozhledy
analysis
china
guerilla
paramilitary strategy
taiwan
title Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?
title_full Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?
title_fullStr Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?
title_short Analysis of Taiwan Guerilla Potential – A Real Possibility or a Naive Notion?
title_sort analysis of taiwan guerilla potential a real possibility or a naive notion
topic analysis
china
guerilla
paramilitary strategy
taiwan
url https://www.vojenskerozhledy.cz/en/kategorie/analyza-potencialu-guerilly
work_keys_str_mv AT richardoubelicky analysisoftaiwanguerillapotentialarealpossibilityoranaivenotion