Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies

Abstract This paper studies the growth impacts of realizing two long-term carbon targets in Switzerland (reducing CO2 emissions in 2050 by 72% and 80% relative to 1990 levels) with alternative steering-based climate policies that include a uniform tax on the whole economy and differentiated tax sche...

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Main Authors: Adriana Marcucci, Lin Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2019-09-01
Series:Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-019-0043-5
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author Adriana Marcucci
Lin Zhang
author_facet Adriana Marcucci
Lin Zhang
author_sort Adriana Marcucci
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This paper studies the growth impacts of realizing two long-term carbon targets in Switzerland (reducing CO2 emissions in 2050 by 72% and 80% relative to 1990 levels) with alternative steering-based climate policies that include a uniform tax on the whole economy and differentiated tax schemes. For this analysis, we use the Computable Induced Technical change and Energy (CITE) model, a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with endogenous growth. We find that achieving the climate targets could lead to a slight decrease in utility and an increase in investments through the shift of labor from manufacturing to research. Higher investments coming from higher innovation could compensate the reduction in output due to the carbon policies, leading to relatively unaffected economic output. The economic structure adjusts following three drivers: energy intensity, substitutability from energy in the production of the intermediate varieties, and the relative attractiveness of research. Moreover, the results from the CITE model show that the economy-wide carbon tax is the most effective option when we consider the effects on utility. Differentiating the sectors regulated by the emission trading system (ETS) has relatively low impact while applying lower taxes on transport fuels results in lower utility driven by inefficiencies in the sectoral mitigation efforts. Finally, we find that the effects of increasing the stringency of the target (in terms of foregone utility) are independent from the policy instrument.
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spelling doaj.art-70b586b14d4e43fbae6405a8055df93a2022-12-22T02:41:01ZengSpringerOpenSwiss Journal of Economics and Statistics2235-62822019-09-01155111310.1186/s41937-019-0043-5Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policiesAdriana Marcucci0Lin Zhang1ETH Zurich, Center of Economic ResearchSchool of Energy and Environment and Department of Public Policy, City University of Hong KongAbstract This paper studies the growth impacts of realizing two long-term carbon targets in Switzerland (reducing CO2 emissions in 2050 by 72% and 80% relative to 1990 levels) with alternative steering-based climate policies that include a uniform tax on the whole economy and differentiated tax schemes. For this analysis, we use the Computable Induced Technical change and Energy (CITE) model, a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with endogenous growth. We find that achieving the climate targets could lead to a slight decrease in utility and an increase in investments through the shift of labor from manufacturing to research. Higher investments coming from higher innovation could compensate the reduction in output due to the carbon policies, leading to relatively unaffected economic output. The economic structure adjusts following three drivers: energy intensity, substitutability from energy in the production of the intermediate varieties, and the relative attractiveness of research. Moreover, the results from the CITE model show that the economy-wide carbon tax is the most effective option when we consider the effects on utility. Differentiating the sectors regulated by the emission trading system (ETS) has relatively low impact while applying lower taxes on transport fuels results in lower utility driven by inefficiencies in the sectoral mitigation efforts. Finally, we find that the effects of increasing the stringency of the target (in terms of foregone utility) are independent from the policy instrument.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-019-0043-5Endogenous growthSwiss climate policyCGEDifferentiated taxes
spellingShingle Adriana Marcucci
Lin Zhang
Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
Endogenous growth
Swiss climate policy
CGE
Differentiated taxes
title Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies
title_full Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies
title_fullStr Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies
title_full_unstemmed Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies
title_short Growth impacts of Swiss steering-based climate policies
title_sort growth impacts of swiss steering based climate policies
topic Endogenous growth
Swiss climate policy
CGE
Differentiated taxes
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s41937-019-0043-5
work_keys_str_mv AT adrianamarcucci growthimpactsofswisssteeringbasedclimatepolicies
AT linzhang growthimpactsofswisssteeringbasedclimatepolicies