Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)

Abstract Cardiac Troponin I (cTnI) could be used to identify individuals at elevated risk of cardiac death in lung cancer (LC) screening settings. In a population-based, randomized LC screening trial in Germany (“LUSI” study) serum cTnI was measured by high-sensitivity assay in blood samples collect...

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Main Authors: Francisco O. Cortés-Ibáñez, Theron Johnson, Mario Mascalchi, Verena Katzke, Stefan Delorme, Rudolf Kaaks
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-57889-z
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author Francisco O. Cortés-Ibáñez
Theron Johnson
Mario Mascalchi
Verena Katzke
Stefan Delorme
Rudolf Kaaks
author_facet Francisco O. Cortés-Ibáñez
Theron Johnson
Mario Mascalchi
Verena Katzke
Stefan Delorme
Rudolf Kaaks
author_sort Francisco O. Cortés-Ibáñez
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Cardiac Troponin I (cTnI) could be used to identify individuals at elevated risk of cardiac death in lung cancer (LC) screening settings. In a population-based, randomized LC screening trial in Germany (“LUSI” study) serum cTnI was measured by high-sensitivity assay in blood samples collected at baseline, and categorized into unquantifiable/low (< 6 ng/L), intermediate (≥ 6–15 ng/L), and elevated (≥ 16 ng/L). Cox proportional-hazard models were used to estimate risk of all-cause and cardiac mortality with cTnI levels. After exclusion criteria, 3653 participants were included for our analyses, of which 82.4% had low, 12.8% intermediate and 4.8% elevated cTnI, respectively. Over a median follow up of 11.87 years a total of 439 deaths occurred, including 67 caused by cardiac events. Within the first 5 years after cTnI measurement, intermediate or elevated cTnI levels showed approximately 1.7 (HR = 1.69 [95% CI 0.57–5.02) and 4.7-fold (HR = 4.66 [1.73–12.50]) increases in risk of cardiac death relative to individuals with unquantifiable/low cTnI, independently of age, sex, smoking and other risk factors. Within this time interval, a risk model based on age, sex, BMI, smoking history and cTnI showed a combined area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 73.6 (58.1–87.3), as compared to 70.4 (53.3–83.5) for a model without cTnI. Over the time interval of > 5–10 years after blood donation, the relative risk associations with cTnI and were weaker. cTnI showed no association with mortality from any other (non-cardiac) cause. Our findings show that cTnI may be of use for identifying individuals at elevated risk specifically of short-term cardiac mortality in the context of LC screening.
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spelling doaj.art-70d594c2941c425f8776076556437bb42024-03-31T11:20:35ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-03-011411910.1038/s41598-024-57889-zCardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)Francisco O. Cortés-Ibáñez0Theron Johnson1Mario Mascalchi2Verena Katzke3Stefan Delorme4Rudolf Kaaks5Division of Cancer Epidemiology (C020), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Cancer Epidemiology (C020), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Cancer Epidemiology (C020), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Cancer Epidemiology (C020), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Radiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Division of Cancer Epidemiology (C020), German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ)Abstract Cardiac Troponin I (cTnI) could be used to identify individuals at elevated risk of cardiac death in lung cancer (LC) screening settings. In a population-based, randomized LC screening trial in Germany (“LUSI” study) serum cTnI was measured by high-sensitivity assay in blood samples collected at baseline, and categorized into unquantifiable/low (< 6 ng/L), intermediate (≥ 6–15 ng/L), and elevated (≥ 16 ng/L). Cox proportional-hazard models were used to estimate risk of all-cause and cardiac mortality with cTnI levels. After exclusion criteria, 3653 participants were included for our analyses, of which 82.4% had low, 12.8% intermediate and 4.8% elevated cTnI, respectively. Over a median follow up of 11.87 years a total of 439 deaths occurred, including 67 caused by cardiac events. Within the first 5 years after cTnI measurement, intermediate or elevated cTnI levels showed approximately 1.7 (HR = 1.69 [95% CI 0.57–5.02) and 4.7-fold (HR = 4.66 [1.73–12.50]) increases in risk of cardiac death relative to individuals with unquantifiable/low cTnI, independently of age, sex, smoking and other risk factors. Within this time interval, a risk model based on age, sex, BMI, smoking history and cTnI showed a combined area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 73.6 (58.1–87.3), as compared to 70.4 (53.3–83.5) for a model without cTnI. Over the time interval of > 5–10 years after blood donation, the relative risk associations with cTnI and were weaker. cTnI showed no association with mortality from any other (non-cardiac) cause. Our findings show that cTnI may be of use for identifying individuals at elevated risk specifically of short-term cardiac mortality in the context of LC screening.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-57889-zTroponinBiomarkersLung cancer screeningMyocardial infarctionMortalityRisk assessment
spellingShingle Francisco O. Cortés-Ibáñez
Theron Johnson
Mario Mascalchi
Verena Katzke
Stefan Delorme
Rudolf Kaaks
Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)
Scientific Reports
Troponin
Biomarkers
Lung cancer screening
Myocardial infarction
Mortality
Risk assessment
title Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)
title_full Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)
title_fullStr Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)
title_full_unstemmed Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)
title_short Cardiac troponin I as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the German randomized lung cancer screening trial (LUSI)
title_sort cardiac troponin i as predictor for cardiac and other mortality in the german randomized lung cancer screening trial lusi
topic Troponin
Biomarkers
Lung cancer screening
Myocardial infarction
Mortality
Risk assessment
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-57889-z
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