Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals

Buruli is a neglected tropical disease that can now be found in many countries including developed countries like Australia. It is a skin disorder that usually occurs in the arms and legs. The disease has been identified in a number of mammals, particularly possum. Adequate eradication and control p...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Altaf Khan, E. Bonyah, Yi-Xia Li, Taseer Muhammad, K. O. Okosun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2021-06-01
Series:AIMS Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.2021572?viewType=HTML
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author Muhammad Altaf Khan
E. Bonyah
Yi-Xia Li
Taseer Muhammad
K. O. Okosun
author_facet Muhammad Altaf Khan
E. Bonyah
Yi-Xia Li
Taseer Muhammad
K. O. Okosun
author_sort Muhammad Altaf Khan
collection DOAJ
description Buruli is a neglected tropical disease that can now be found in many countries including developed countries like Australia. It is a skin disorder that usually occurs in the arms and legs. The disease has been identified in a number of mammals, particularly possum. Adequate eradication and control programs are needed to minimize infection and its spread to less developed countries before it becomes an epidemic. In this work, a SIR type possum epidemic model is proposed. The properties of the model are thoroughly studied and obtained its stability results. We determine the stability of the model at its fixed points and show that the model is locally and globally asymptomatically stable. The stability of the disease-free case is shown for $ \mathcal{R}_0 < 1 $ and the endemic case is examined for $ \mathcal{R}_0 > 1$. We further extend the model using the control variables and obtain an optimal control system and using the optimal control theory to characterize the necessary condition for controlling the spread of Buruli ulcer (BU). The model results are plotted to determine the best strategies for disease elimination. Numerical simulation has shown that the useful strategy consists in implementing all suggested controls.
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spelling doaj.art-7145f0e9cf364979ac531f7099d074842022-12-21T22:36:44ZengAIMS PressAIMS Mathematics2473-69882021-06-01699859988110.3934/math.2021572Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammalsMuhammad Altaf Khan0E. Bonyah 1Yi-Xia Li2Taseer Muhammad3K. O. Okosun41. Institute for Groundwater studies, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of the Free State South Africa2. Department of Mathematics Education, Akenten Appiah-Menka University of Skills Training and Entrepreneurial Development, Kumasi, Ghana3. College of Mathematics and Finance, Xiangnan University, Chenzhou 423000, China4. Department of Mathematics, College of Sciences, King Khalid University, Abha 61413, Saudi Arabia5. Department of Mathematics, Vaal University of Technology, Vanderbijlpark, South AfricaBuruli is a neglected tropical disease that can now be found in many countries including developed countries like Australia. It is a skin disorder that usually occurs in the arms and legs. The disease has been identified in a number of mammals, particularly possum. Adequate eradication and control programs are needed to minimize infection and its spread to less developed countries before it becomes an epidemic. In this work, a SIR type possum epidemic model is proposed. The properties of the model are thoroughly studied and obtained its stability results. We determine the stability of the model at its fixed points and show that the model is locally and globally asymptomatically stable. The stability of the disease-free case is shown for $ \mathcal{R}_0 < 1 $ and the endemic case is examined for $ \mathcal{R}_0 > 1$. We further extend the model using the control variables and obtain an optimal control system and using the optimal control theory to characterize the necessary condition for controlling the spread of Buruli ulcer (BU). The model results are plotted to determine the best strategies for disease elimination. Numerical simulation has shown that the useful strategy consists in implementing all suggested controls.https://aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.2021572?viewType=HTMLpossum mammaloptimal controlburuli ulcermycobacterium ulceransstability analysis
spellingShingle Muhammad Altaf Khan
E. Bonyah
Yi-Xia Li
Taseer Muhammad
K. O. Okosun
Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals
AIMS Mathematics
possum mammal
optimal control
buruli ulcer
mycobacterium ulcerans
stability analysis
title Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals
title_full Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals
title_fullStr Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals
title_full_unstemmed Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals
title_short Mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of Buruli ulcer in possum mammals
title_sort mathematical modeling and optimal control strategies of buruli ulcer in possum mammals
topic possum mammal
optimal control
buruli ulcer
mycobacterium ulcerans
stability analysis
url https://aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/math.2021572?viewType=HTML
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