Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models

This study investigates the effects of ESG factors on stock return volatility from 2012 to 2020 using linear regression, GLE algorithm, and neural network models. This paper used the ESG factors and main control variables (ROA, EPS, and year) as independent variables. The regression model results sh...

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Main Author: Hamzeh F. Assous
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/10/242
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author Hamzeh F. Assous
author_facet Hamzeh F. Assous
author_sort Hamzeh F. Assous
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the effects of ESG factors on stock return volatility from 2012 to 2020 using linear regression, GLE algorithm, and neural network models. This paper used the ESG factors and main control variables (ROA, EPS, and year) as independent variables. The regression model results showed that both year and E scores significantly positively affected Saudi banks’ stock return volatility. However, the S score and ROA significantly negatively impacted the volatility. The results indicated that the prediction models were more efficient in analysing the volatility and building an accurate prediction model using all independent variables. The results of the GLE algorithm model showed that the level of importance of the variables was sorted from highest to least significant as follows: S score, ROA, E score, and then G score. While the result of the neural network was sorted as ROA, ROE, and EPS, then the E score, S score, and G score factors all had the same minor importance in predicting the stock return volatility. Linear regression and prediction models indicated that the S score was the most crucial variable in predicting stock return volatility. Both policymakers and investors can benefit from our findings.
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spelling doaj.art-71957ff5fc16400a99d3d4631ee6a6272023-11-23T23:50:26ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992022-10-01101024210.3390/economies10100242Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network ModelsHamzeh F. Assous0Finance Department, School of Business, King Faisal University, Al Ahasa 31982, Saudi ArabiaThis study investigates the effects of ESG factors on stock return volatility from 2012 to 2020 using linear regression, GLE algorithm, and neural network models. This paper used the ESG factors and main control variables (ROA, EPS, and year) as independent variables. The regression model results showed that both year and E scores significantly positively affected Saudi banks’ stock return volatility. However, the S score and ROA significantly negatively impacted the volatility. The results indicated that the prediction models were more efficient in analysing the volatility and building an accurate prediction model using all independent variables. The results of the GLE algorithm model showed that the level of importance of the variables was sorted from highest to least significant as follows: S score, ROA, E score, and then G score. While the result of the neural network was sorted as ROA, ROE, and EPS, then the E score, S score, and G score factors all had the same minor importance in predicting the stock return volatility. Linear regression and prediction models indicated that the S score was the most crucial variable in predicting stock return volatility. Both policymakers and investors can benefit from our findings.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/10/242ESGSaudi banking sectorenvironmental scoresocial scoregovernance scorevolatility
spellingShingle Hamzeh F. Assous
Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models
Economies
ESG
Saudi banking sector
environmental score
social score
governance score
volatility
title Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models
title_full Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models
title_fullStr Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models
title_full_unstemmed Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models
title_short Saudi Green Banks and Stock Return Volatility: GLE Algorithm and Neural Network Models
title_sort saudi green banks and stock return volatility gle algorithm and neural network models
topic ESG
Saudi banking sector
environmental score
social score
governance score
volatility
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/10/10/242
work_keys_str_mv AT hamzehfassous saudigreenbanksandstockreturnvolatilityglealgorithmandneuralnetworkmodels