Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites

Abstract The rising popularity of artificial intelligence in healthcare is highlighting the problem that a computational model achieving super-human clinical performance at its training sites may perform substantially worse at new sites. In this perspective, we argue that we should typically expect...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Thomas A. Lasko, Eric V. Strobl, William W. Stead
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-03-01
Series:npj Digital Medicine
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-024-01037-4
_version_ 1797273105551327232
author Thomas A. Lasko
Eric V. Strobl
William W. Stead
author_facet Thomas A. Lasko
Eric V. Strobl
William W. Stead
author_sort Thomas A. Lasko
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The rising popularity of artificial intelligence in healthcare is highlighting the problem that a computational model achieving super-human clinical performance at its training sites may perform substantially worse at new sites. In this perspective, we argue that we should typically expect this failure to transport, and we present common sources for it, divided into those under the control of the experimenter and those inherent to the clinical data-generating process. Of the inherent sources we look a little deeper into site-specific clinical practices that can affect the data distribution, and propose a potential solution intended to isolate the imprint of those practices on the data from the patterns of disease cause and effect that are the usual target of probabilistic clinical models.
first_indexed 2024-03-07T14:39:47Z
format Article
id doaj.art-71b6d1f4d08f4b42be8fcc16a1f99077
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2398-6352
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-07T14:39:47Z
publishDate 2024-03-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series npj Digital Medicine
spelling doaj.art-71b6d1f4d08f4b42be8fcc16a1f990772024-03-05T20:27:11ZengNature Portfolionpj Digital Medicine2398-63522024-03-01711810.1038/s41746-024-01037-4Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sitesThomas A. Lasko0Eric V. Strobl1William W. Stead2Vanderbilt University Medical CenterVanderbilt University Medical CenterVanderbilt University Medical CenterAbstract The rising popularity of artificial intelligence in healthcare is highlighting the problem that a computational model achieving super-human clinical performance at its training sites may perform substantially worse at new sites. In this perspective, we argue that we should typically expect this failure to transport, and we present common sources for it, divided into those under the control of the experimenter and those inherent to the clinical data-generating process. Of the inherent sources we look a little deeper into site-specific clinical practices that can affect the data distribution, and propose a potential solution intended to isolate the imprint of those practices on the data from the patterns of disease cause and effect that are the usual target of probabilistic clinical models.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-024-01037-4
spellingShingle Thomas A. Lasko
Eric V. Strobl
William W. Stead
Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
npj Digital Medicine
title Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
title_full Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
title_fullStr Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
title_full_unstemmed Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
title_short Why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
title_sort why do probabilistic clinical models fail to transport between sites
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-024-01037-4
work_keys_str_mv AT thomasalasko whydoprobabilisticclinicalmodelsfailtotransportbetweensites
AT ericvstrobl whydoprobabilisticclinicalmodelsfailtotransportbetweensites
AT williamwstead whydoprobabilisticclinicalmodelsfailtotransportbetweensites