The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study
The adoption of fiscal policies based on the specific taxation of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) has been recommended by international health agencies, as they are measures that potentially reduce consumption. This study is an ex ante risk comparison that estimates the impact of three tax scenario...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2022-12-01
|
| Series: | Nutrients |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/14/23/5163 |
| _version_ | 1797462383658008576 |
|---|---|
| author | Carla Cristina Enes Ana Elisa M. Rinaldi Luciana Bertoldi Nucci Alexander Itria |
| author_facet | Carla Cristina Enes Ana Elisa M. Rinaldi Luciana Bertoldi Nucci Alexander Itria |
| author_sort | Carla Cristina Enes |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The adoption of fiscal policies based on the specific taxation of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) has been recommended by international health agencies, as they are measures that potentially reduce consumption. This study is an ex ante risk comparison that estimates the impact of three tax scenarios (20, 25, and 30%) with a 100% pass-on rate to SSBs on the prevalence of high weight and obesity in the Brazilian population. Data on the consumption habits, weight, and height of 46,164 adults aged 20 years or over from Brazilian recent national surveys were used. The shift in consumption after taxation was estimated based on the price elasticity of the demand. The percentage changes in overweight for 20, 25, and 30% taxation were 1.84% (95%CI: 1.82; 1.86), 1.89% (95%CI: 1.87; 1.90), and 2.25% (95%CI: 2.24; 2.27), respectively. The change in the prevalence of obesity was 1.93% (95%CI: 1.87; 2.00), 2.90% (95%CI: 2.80; 3.02), and 4.16% (95%CI: 4.01; 4.32), respectively. Taxes on SSBs may have a more favorable result among the heaviest consumers, who are young adults (20–29 years), especially men, thereby promoting a greater reduction in the prevalence of high weight and obesity. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T17:35:40Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-71cb11826ad74d35bb49efb2f8069703 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2072-6643 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T17:35:40Z |
| publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nutrients |
| spelling | doaj.art-71cb11826ad74d35bb49efb2f80697032023-11-24T11:53:11ZengMDPI AGNutrients2072-66432022-12-011423516310.3390/nu14235163The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling StudyCarla Cristina Enes0Ana Elisa M. Rinaldi1Luciana Bertoldi Nucci2Alexander Itria3Center for Life Sciences, Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences, Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas (PUC-Campinas), Avenue John Boyd Dunlop, s/n, Campinas 13060-904, BrazilPostgraduate Program in Health Sciences, School of Medicine, Federal University of Uberlândia (UFU), 1720, Pará Avenue, Block 2U, Uberlândia 38400-902, BrazilCenter for Life Sciences, Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences, Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas (PUC-Campinas), Avenue John Boyd Dunlop, s/n, Campinas 13060-904, BrazilManagement and Technology Sciences Center, University of Sao Carlos (UFSCar), João Leme dos Santos Highway, SP-264, Km 110-Itinga, Sorocaba-SP, Sorocaba 18052-780, BrazilThe adoption of fiscal policies based on the specific taxation of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) has been recommended by international health agencies, as they are measures that potentially reduce consumption. This study is an ex ante risk comparison that estimates the impact of three tax scenarios (20, 25, and 30%) with a 100% pass-on rate to SSBs on the prevalence of high weight and obesity in the Brazilian population. Data on the consumption habits, weight, and height of 46,164 adults aged 20 years or over from Brazilian recent national surveys were used. The shift in consumption after taxation was estimated based on the price elasticity of the demand. The percentage changes in overweight for 20, 25, and 30% taxation were 1.84% (95%CI: 1.82; 1.86), 1.89% (95%CI: 1.87; 1.90), and 2.25% (95%CI: 2.24; 2.27), respectively. The change in the prevalence of obesity was 1.93% (95%CI: 1.87; 2.00), 2.90% (95%CI: 2.80; 3.02), and 4.16% (95%CI: 4.01; 4.32), respectively. Taxes on SSBs may have a more favorable result among the heaviest consumers, who are young adults (20–29 years), especially men, thereby promoting a greater reduction in the prevalence of high weight and obesity.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/14/23/5163sugar-sweetened beveragesfiscal policyobesitybody mass indextax |
| spellingShingle | Carla Cristina Enes Ana Elisa M. Rinaldi Luciana Bertoldi Nucci Alexander Itria The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study Nutrients sugar-sweetened beverages fiscal policy obesity body mass index tax |
| title | The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study |
| title_full | The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study |
| title_fullStr | The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study |
| title_short | The Potential Impact of Different Taxation Scenarios towards Sugar-Sweetened Beverages on Overweight and Obesity in Brazil: A Modeling Study |
| title_sort | potential impact of different taxation scenarios towards sugar sweetened beverages on overweight and obesity in brazil a modeling study |
| topic | sugar-sweetened beverages fiscal policy obesity body mass index tax |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6643/14/23/5163 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT carlacristinaenes thepotentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT anaelisamrinaldi thepotentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT lucianabertoldinucci thepotentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT alexanderitria thepotentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT carlacristinaenes potentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT anaelisamrinaldi potentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT lucianabertoldinucci potentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy AT alexanderitria potentialimpactofdifferenttaxationscenariostowardssugarsweetenedbeveragesonoverweightandobesityinbrazilamodelingstudy |