Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis

There has been a growing interest in the field of neural networks for prediction in recent years. In this research, a public dataset including the sales history of a retail store is investigated to forecast the sales of furniture. To this aim, several forecasting models are applied. First, some clas...

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Main Authors: Yasaman Ensafi, Saman Hassanzadeh Amin, Guoqing Zhang, Bharat Shah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-04-01
Series:International Journal of Information Management Data Insights
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667096822000027
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author Yasaman Ensafi
Saman Hassanzadeh Amin
Guoqing Zhang
Bharat Shah
author_facet Yasaman Ensafi
Saman Hassanzadeh Amin
Guoqing Zhang
Bharat Shah
author_sort Yasaman Ensafi
collection DOAJ
description There has been a growing interest in the field of neural networks for prediction in recent years. In this research, a public dataset including the sales history of a retail store is investigated to forecast the sales of furniture. To this aim, several forecasting models are applied. First, some classical time-series forecasting techniques such as Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Triple Exponential Smoothing are utilized. Then, more advanced methods such as Prophet, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) are applied. The performances of the models are compared using different accuracy measurement methods (e.g., Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)). The results show the superiority of the Stacked LSTM method over the other methods. In addition, the results indicate the good performances of the Prophet and CNN models.
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spelling doaj.art-71d7eb0047414197aba01673a1eb834e2022-12-22T03:29:13ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Information Management Data Insights2667-09682022-04-0121100058Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysisYasaman Ensafi0Saman Hassanzadeh Amin1Guoqing Zhang2Bharat Shah3Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Ryerson University, ON, CanadaDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Ryerson University, ON, Canada; Corresponding author.Department of Mechanical, Automotive and Materials Engineering, University of Windsor, ON, CanadaTed Rogers School of Management, Ryerson University, ON, CanadaThere has been a growing interest in the field of neural networks for prediction in recent years. In this research, a public dataset including the sales history of a retail store is investigated to forecast the sales of furniture. To this aim, several forecasting models are applied. First, some classical time-series forecasting techniques such as Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Triple Exponential Smoothing are utilized. Then, more advanced methods such as Prophet, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) are applied. The performances of the models are compared using different accuracy measurement methods (e.g., Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)). The results show the superiority of the Stacked LSTM method over the other methods. In addition, the results indicate the good performances of the Prophet and CNN models.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667096822000027Time-series forecastingSales forecastingSeasonal itemsNeural networkBig data
spellingShingle Yasaman Ensafi
Saman Hassanzadeh Amin
Guoqing Zhang
Bharat Shah
Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis
International Journal of Information Management Data Insights
Time-series forecasting
Sales forecasting
Seasonal items
Neural network
Big data
title Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis
title_full Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis
title_fullStr Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis
title_full_unstemmed Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis
title_short Time-series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning – A comparative analysis
title_sort time series forecasting of seasonal items sales using machine learning a comparative analysis
topic Time-series forecasting
Sales forecasting
Seasonal items
Neural network
Big data
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667096822000027
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AT bharatshah timeseriesforecastingofseasonalitemssalesusingmachinelearningacomparativeanalysis