THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH

<p>The paper reviews the conduct of monetary policy in Russia throughout last 10 years. The core method of analysis is ADL modeling. The author explains money supply influence on key macroeconomic variables: investment, consumption, import, inflation, REER. Specifically our results show to wha...

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Main Author: Егор Николаевич Поляков
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Science and Innovation Center Publishing House 2013-06-01
Series:Sovremennye Issledovaniâ Socialʹnyh Problem
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal-s.org/index.php/sisp/article/view/416
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author Егор Николаевич Поляков
author_facet Егор Николаевич Поляков
author_sort Егор Николаевич Поляков
collection DOAJ
description <p>The paper reviews the conduct of monetary policy in Russia throughout last 10 years. The core method of analysis is ADL modeling. The author explains money supply influence on key macroeconomic variables: investment, consumption, import, inflation, REER. Specifically our results show to what extent GDP growth is determined by money supply growth throughout last 10 years. The author explains efficiency fall of Central Bank expansionary actions throughout last 5 years. The author suggests the set of decisions geared towards increasing the monetary policy efficiency. Ruble devaluation is a key of them.</p><p>In particular, now the Central Bank of Russia and the Government of the following may be recommended:</p><p>- gradual devaluation of the ruble by operations in the currency market you with the sterilization of excess money supply;</p><p>- reduction in the rate of growth of tariffs for electricity, gas, of rail transport to the level of inflation;</p><p>- reduction in the rate of growth of budget expenditures to the level of inflation.</p><p>According to the author, these measures will allow monetary policy to revive Russia as an effective tool to stimulate economic growth.</p><p><strong>DOI: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2218-7405-2013-5-9">http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2218-7405-2013-5-9</a></strong></p>
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spelling doaj.art-72038e85c0b64fef8f1ea28bf7e7b3442022-12-21T21:26:04ZengScience and Innovation Center Publishing HouseSovremennye Issledovaniâ Socialʹnyh Problem2218-74052013-06-0105219THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTHЕгор Николаевич Поляков<p>The paper reviews the conduct of monetary policy in Russia throughout last 10 years. The core method of analysis is ADL modeling. The author explains money supply influence on key macroeconomic variables: investment, consumption, import, inflation, REER. Specifically our results show to what extent GDP growth is determined by money supply growth throughout last 10 years. The author explains efficiency fall of Central Bank expansionary actions throughout last 5 years. The author suggests the set of decisions geared towards increasing the monetary policy efficiency. Ruble devaluation is a key of them.</p><p>In particular, now the Central Bank of Russia and the Government of the following may be recommended:</p><p>- gradual devaluation of the ruble by operations in the currency market you with the sterilization of excess money supply;</p><p>- reduction in the rate of growth of tariffs for electricity, gas, of rail transport to the level of inflation;</p><p>- reduction in the rate of growth of budget expenditures to the level of inflation.</p><p>According to the author, these measures will allow monetary policy to revive Russia as an effective tool to stimulate economic growth.</p><p><strong>DOI: <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2218-7405-2013-5-9">http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2218-7405-2013-5-9</a></strong></p>http://journal-s.org/index.php/sisp/article/view/416monetary policy, money supply, inflation, REER
spellingShingle Егор Николаевич Поляков
THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH
Sovremennye Issledovaniâ Socialʹnyh Problem
monetary policy, money supply, inflation, REER
title THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH
title_full THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH
title_fullStr THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH
title_full_unstemmed THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH
title_short THE ROLE OF MONETARY POLICY IN STIMULATING ECONOMIC GROWTH
title_sort role of monetary policy in stimulating economic growth
topic monetary policy, money supply, inflation, REER
url http://journal-s.org/index.php/sisp/article/view/416
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