Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study

With the accelerated pace of financial globalization and the gradual increase in linkages among financial markets, correctly identifying and describing the risk spillover and network diffusion in the financial system is extremely important for the prevention and management of systemic risk. Based on...

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Main Authors: Sun Meng, Yan Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-03-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1396
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author Sun Meng
Yan Chen
author_facet Sun Meng
Yan Chen
author_sort Sun Meng
collection DOAJ
description With the accelerated pace of financial globalization and the gradual increase in linkages among financial markets, correctly identifying and describing the risk spillover and network diffusion in the financial system is extremely important for the prevention and management of systemic risk. Based on this, this paper takes the equity markets of 17 countries around the world from 2007 to 2022 as the research object, measures the volatility spillover effect of global financial markets using R-Vine Copula and the DY spillover index, constructs the volatility spillover network of global financial markets, discovers the spillover and diffusion pattern of global financial market risks, and provides relevant suggestions for systemic risk management. It is found that (1) there are certain aggregation characteristics in the network diffusion of global financial market volatility spillover; (2) developed European countries such as the Netherlands, France, the UK, and Germany are at the center of the network and have a strong influence; (3) Asian countries such as China, Japan, and India are at the periphery of the network; and (4) shocks from crisis events enhance the global financial market volatility spillover effect. Based on the above findings, effective prevention of global financial market risk volatility spillover and network diffusion and reduction in systemic risk need to be carried out in two ways. First, by focusing on the financial markets of key countries in the network, such as the Netherlands, the UK, France, and Germany. The second approach is to mitigate the uneven development in global financial markets and reduce the high correlation among them.
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spelling doaj.art-724e76a60a824ff091cd4898478cf9652023-11-17T12:27:58ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902023-03-01116139610.3390/math11061396Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical StudySun Meng0Yan Chen1School of Finance, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, ChinaSchool of Finance, Yunnan University of Finance and Economics, Kunming 650221, ChinaWith the accelerated pace of financial globalization and the gradual increase in linkages among financial markets, correctly identifying and describing the risk spillover and network diffusion in the financial system is extremely important for the prevention and management of systemic risk. Based on this, this paper takes the equity markets of 17 countries around the world from 2007 to 2022 as the research object, measures the volatility spillover effect of global financial markets using R-Vine Copula and the DY spillover index, constructs the volatility spillover network of global financial markets, discovers the spillover and diffusion pattern of global financial market risks, and provides relevant suggestions for systemic risk management. It is found that (1) there are certain aggregation characteristics in the network diffusion of global financial market volatility spillover; (2) developed European countries such as the Netherlands, France, the UK, and Germany are at the center of the network and have a strong influence; (3) Asian countries such as China, Japan, and India are at the periphery of the network; and (4) shocks from crisis events enhance the global financial market volatility spillover effect. Based on the above findings, effective prevention of global financial market risk volatility spillover and network diffusion and reduction in systemic risk need to be carried out in two ways. First, by focusing on the financial markets of key countries in the network, such as the Netherlands, the UK, France, and Germany. The second approach is to mitigate the uneven development in global financial markets and reduce the high correlation among them.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1396volatility spilloversnetwork diffusionsystemic risk managementglobal financial markets
spellingShingle Sun Meng
Yan Chen
Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study
Mathematics
volatility spillovers
network diffusion
systemic risk management
global financial markets
title Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study
title_full Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study
title_fullStr Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study
title_full_unstemmed Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study
title_short Market Volatility Spillover, Network Diffusion, and Financial Systemic Risk Management: Financial Modeling and Empirical Study
title_sort market volatility spillover network diffusion and financial systemic risk management financial modeling and empirical study
topic volatility spillovers
network diffusion
systemic risk management
global financial markets
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/6/1396
work_keys_str_mv AT sunmeng marketvolatilityspillovernetworkdiffusionandfinancialsystemicriskmanagementfinancialmodelingandempiricalstudy
AT yanchen marketvolatilityspillovernetworkdiffusionandfinancialsystemicriskmanagementfinancialmodelingandempiricalstudy