ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN

Energy is a crucial input in the process of economic growth. Sustainable economic growth necessitates the sufficient and continuous availability of energy. Pakistan is confronting energy insecurity which is seriously hindering the economic development and this study is an attempt to investigate the...

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Main Authors: Tahir MAHMOOD*, Muhammed Tayyab AYAZ**
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi 2018-06-01
Series:Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.aerc.edu.pk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Paper-759-TAHIR-IV.pdf
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author Tahir MAHMOOD*
Muhammed Tayyab AYAZ**
author_facet Tahir MAHMOOD*
Muhammed Tayyab AYAZ**
author_sort Tahir MAHMOOD*
collection DOAJ
description Energy is a crucial input in the process of economic growth. Sustainable economic growth necessitates the sufficient and continuous availability of energy. Pakistan is confronting energy insecurity which is seriously hindering the economic development and this study is an attempt to investigate the relationship between energy security and economic growth. The major concern of energy security is associated with the availability of suitable energy supply in cheap and consistent way to fulfill energy demand in the future. In this study, the demand and supply gap of energy is used as a proxy variable for energy security. The data source is the Energy Information Administration (EIA) where data is available at disaggregate level for different sources of energy (i.e., oil, gas, coal and electricity) for the period of 1980 to 2012. Therefore, aggregate variables are generated by converting data into unified unit of measurement. The Error Correction Model (ECM) is used to analyze the short-run and long-run causality between energy gap and the economic growth. The results show that unidirectional causality runs from energy demand and supply gap to economic growth in short-run as well as in the long-run. This relationship is negative and statistically significant in both the short- run and the long run which indicates that low energy security (i.e., increasing energy gap) halts the economic growth of Pakistan. Consequently, the study concludes that government should focus on better management of energy demand and energy supply.
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spelling doaj.art-7255c34a579a4082b11a1089f1c582c12022-12-22T01:15:18ZengApplied Economics Research Centre, University of KarachiPakistan Journal of Applied Economics0254-92042519-04312018-06-012814767ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTANTahir MAHMOOD*Muhammed Tayyab AYAZ**Energy is a crucial input in the process of economic growth. Sustainable economic growth necessitates the sufficient and continuous availability of energy. Pakistan is confronting energy insecurity which is seriously hindering the economic development and this study is an attempt to investigate the relationship between energy security and economic growth. The major concern of energy security is associated with the availability of suitable energy supply in cheap and consistent way to fulfill energy demand in the future. In this study, the demand and supply gap of energy is used as a proxy variable for energy security. The data source is the Energy Information Administration (EIA) where data is available at disaggregate level for different sources of energy (i.e., oil, gas, coal and electricity) for the period of 1980 to 2012. Therefore, aggregate variables are generated by converting data into unified unit of measurement. The Error Correction Model (ECM) is used to analyze the short-run and long-run causality between energy gap and the economic growth. The results show that unidirectional causality runs from energy demand and supply gap to economic growth in short-run as well as in the long-run. This relationship is negative and statistically significant in both the short- run and the long run which indicates that low energy security (i.e., increasing energy gap) halts the economic growth of Pakistan. Consequently, the study concludes that government should focus on better management of energy demand and energy supply.http://www.aerc.edu.pk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Paper-759-TAHIR-IV.pdfEnergy DemandEnergy SupplyEnergy SecurityEconomic GrowthTime series
spellingShingle Tahir MAHMOOD*
Muhammed Tayyab AYAZ**
ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics
Energy Demand
Energy Supply
Energy Security
Economic Growth
Time series
title ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
title_full ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
title_fullStr ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
title_full_unstemmed ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
title_short ENERGY SECURITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PAKISTAN
title_sort energy security and economic growth in pakistan
topic Energy Demand
Energy Supply
Energy Security
Economic Growth
Time series
url http://www.aerc.edu.pk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Paper-759-TAHIR-IV.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT tahirmahmood energysecurityandeconomicgrowthinpakistan
AT muhammedtayyabayaz energysecurityandeconomicgrowthinpakistan