Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies
Purpose – The first purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of climate-caused cereal productivity changes on food security, welfare and GDP in South Asian countries. The second purpose is to assess the agricultural subsidies and South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) as policy responses to...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Emerald Publishing
2022-04-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IJCCSM-10-2021-0113/full/pdf?title=food-security-in-south-asia-under-climate-change-and-economic-policies |
| _version_ | 1797995025917804544 |
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| author | Sun Yan Shahzad Alvi |
| author_facet | Sun Yan Shahzad Alvi |
| author_sort | Sun Yan |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Purpose – The first purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of climate-caused cereal productivity changes on food security, welfare and GDP in South Asian countries. The second purpose is to assess the agricultural subsidies and South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) as policy responses to climate change. Design/methodology/approach – The present study uses the computable general equilibrium (CGE) framework and econometric approach in an integrated manner to examine the economic impacts of climate-caused cereal productivity changes in South Asian countries. An econometric model is used to identify the impact of climate change on cereal yields and CGE approach is used to assess the future effect of climate change through simulations. In this course, the econometric findings are applied to Multiregional Global Trade Analysis Project 10 and then the model is calibrated for future projection. Findings – The results indicate that there is a decrease in cereals production because of climate change and eventually it increases the prices of cereals, decreases the local consumption and GDP and, as a result, causes a loss in welfare. Subsidies and SAFTA have been found to have no substantial impact on increasing food security in South Asia. Originality/value – The present study uses the concept of food demand for all cereals in an integrated way and focuses on the fiscal and trade policy responses to climate change. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T09:55:02Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7259651063ad4075820c148170813b00 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1756-8692 1756-8706 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T09:55:02Z |
| publishDate | 2022-04-01 |
| publisher | Emerald Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management |
| spelling | doaj.art-7259651063ad4075820c148170813b002022-12-22T04:30:40ZengEmerald PublishingInternational Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management1756-86921756-87062022-04-0114323725110.1108/IJCCSM-10-2021-0113684550Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policiesSun Yan0Shahzad Alvi1School of Economics, Xi’an University of Finance and Economics, Xi’an, ChinaDepartment of Economics, School of Social Sciences and Humanities, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, PakistanPurpose – The first purpose of this study is to examine the impacts of climate-caused cereal productivity changes on food security, welfare and GDP in South Asian countries. The second purpose is to assess the agricultural subsidies and South Asia Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) as policy responses to climate change. Design/methodology/approach – The present study uses the computable general equilibrium (CGE) framework and econometric approach in an integrated manner to examine the economic impacts of climate-caused cereal productivity changes in South Asian countries. An econometric model is used to identify the impact of climate change on cereal yields and CGE approach is used to assess the future effect of climate change through simulations. In this course, the econometric findings are applied to Multiregional Global Trade Analysis Project 10 and then the model is calibrated for future projection. Findings – The results indicate that there is a decrease in cereals production because of climate change and eventually it increases the prices of cereals, decreases the local consumption and GDP and, as a result, causes a loss in welfare. Subsidies and SAFTA have been found to have no substantial impact on increasing food security in South Asia. Originality/value – The present study uses the concept of food demand for all cereals in an integrated way and focuses on the fiscal and trade policy responses to climate change.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IJCCSM-10-2021-0113/full/pdf?title=food-security-in-south-asia-under-climate-change-and-economic-policiesfood securityclimate changesouth asiayieldsfiscal policytrade policygdpwelfaresafta |
| spellingShingle | Sun Yan Shahzad Alvi Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management food security climate change south asia yields fiscal policy trade policy gdp welfare safta |
| title | Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies |
| title_full | Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies |
| title_fullStr | Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies |
| title_full_unstemmed | Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies |
| title_short | Food security in South Asia under climate change and economic policies |
| title_sort | food security in south asia under climate change and economic policies |
| topic | food security climate change south asia yields fiscal policy trade policy gdp welfare safta |
| url | https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/IJCCSM-10-2021-0113/full/pdf?title=food-security-in-south-asia-under-climate-change-and-economic-policies |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sunyan foodsecurityinsouthasiaunderclimatechangeandeconomicpolicies AT shahzadalvi foodsecurityinsouthasiaunderclimatechangeandeconomicpolicies |