Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.

Food waste from households contributes the greatest proportion to total food waste in developed countries. Therefore, food waste reduction requires an understanding of the socio-economic (contextual and behavioural) factors that lead to its generation within the household. Addressing such a complex...

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Main Authors: Matthew James Grainger, Lusine Aramyan, Simone Piras, Thomas Edward Quested, Simone Righi, Marco Setti, Matteo Vittuari, Gavin Bruce Stewart
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2018-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5794155?pdf=render
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author Matthew James Grainger
Lusine Aramyan
Simone Piras
Thomas Edward Quested
Simone Righi
Marco Setti
Matteo Vittuari
Gavin Bruce Stewart
author_facet Matthew James Grainger
Lusine Aramyan
Simone Piras
Thomas Edward Quested
Simone Righi
Marco Setti
Matteo Vittuari
Gavin Bruce Stewart
author_sort Matthew James Grainger
collection DOAJ
description Food waste from households contributes the greatest proportion to total food waste in developed countries. Therefore, food waste reduction requires an understanding of the socio-economic (contextual and behavioural) factors that lead to its generation within the household. Addressing such a complex subject calls for sound methodological approaches that until now have been conditioned by the large number of factors involved in waste generation, by the lack of a recognised definition, and by limited available data. This work contributes to food waste generation literature by using one of the largest available datasets that includes data on the objective amount of avoidable household food waste, along with information on a series of socio-economic factors. In order to address one aspect of the complexity of the problem, machine learning algorithms (random forests and boruta) for variable selection integrated with linear modelling, model selection and averaging are implemented. Model selection addresses model structural uncertainty, which is not routinely considered in assessments of food waste in literature. The main drivers of food waste in the home selected in the most parsimonious models include household size, the presence of fussy eaters, employment status, home ownership status, and the local authority. Results, regardless of which variable set the models are run on, point toward large households as being a key target element for food waste reduction interventions.
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spelling doaj.art-72797b6579764bf8ac6b6827c12d21992022-12-21T17:45:40ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032018-01-01132e019207510.1371/journal.pone.0192075Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.Matthew James GraingerLusine AramyanSimone PirasThomas Edward QuestedSimone RighiMarco SettiMatteo VittuariGavin Bruce StewartFood waste from households contributes the greatest proportion to total food waste in developed countries. Therefore, food waste reduction requires an understanding of the socio-economic (contextual and behavioural) factors that lead to its generation within the household. Addressing such a complex subject calls for sound methodological approaches that until now have been conditioned by the large number of factors involved in waste generation, by the lack of a recognised definition, and by limited available data. This work contributes to food waste generation literature by using one of the largest available datasets that includes data on the objective amount of avoidable household food waste, along with information on a series of socio-economic factors. In order to address one aspect of the complexity of the problem, machine learning algorithms (random forests and boruta) for variable selection integrated with linear modelling, model selection and averaging are implemented. Model selection addresses model structural uncertainty, which is not routinely considered in assessments of food waste in literature. The main drivers of food waste in the home selected in the most parsimonious models include household size, the presence of fussy eaters, employment status, home ownership status, and the local authority. Results, regardless of which variable set the models are run on, point toward large households as being a key target element for food waste reduction interventions.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5794155?pdf=render
spellingShingle Matthew James Grainger
Lusine Aramyan
Simone Piras
Thomas Edward Quested
Simone Righi
Marco Setti
Matteo Vittuari
Gavin Bruce Stewart
Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.
PLoS ONE
title Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.
title_full Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.
title_fullStr Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.
title_full_unstemmed Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.
title_short Model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives.
title_sort model selection and averaging in the assessment of the drivers of household food waste to reduce the probability of false positives
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5794155?pdf=render
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