COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION

Several diff erent strategies for control and eradication of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. Th e control strategy analyzed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms...

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Main Authors: Slavoljub Stanojević, Miroslav Valčić, Sonja Radojičić, Slobodan Stanojević, Stevan Avramov, Sava Lazić, Dušan Mišić
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Scientific Veterinary Institute “Novi Sad” 2016-11-01
Series:Archives of Veterinary Medicine
Online Access:https://niv.ns.ac.rs/e-avm/index.php/e-avm/article/view/96
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author Slavoljub Stanojević
Miroslav Valčić
Sonja Radojičić
Slobodan Stanojević
Stevan Avramov
Sava Lazić
Dušan Mišić
author_facet Slavoljub Stanojević
Miroslav Valčić
Sonja Radojičić
Slobodan Stanojević
Stevan Avramov
Sava Lazić
Dušan Mišić
author_sort Slavoljub Stanojević
collection DOAJ
description Several diff erent strategies for control and eradication of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. Th e control strategy analyzed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, diff erent output parameters were compared such as: duration of epizootic of a disease, number of aff ected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection.Depopulation of aff ected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most eff ective measures to stop spreading and eradication of the disease. However, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters demonstrated to be appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and setting up a stable epizootiological situation.
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spelling doaj.art-72a96d62e0b7482994d5eb0601b1586e2022-12-21T22:50:43ZengScientific Veterinary Institute “Novi Sad”Archives of Veterinary Medicine1820-99552683-41382016-11-019110.46784/e-avm.v9i1.96COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONSlavoljub Stanojević0Miroslav Valčić1Sonja Radojičić2Slobodan Stanojević3Stevan Avramov4Sava Lazić5Dušan Mišić6Ministry of Agriculture and Environment Protection – Directorate of National Reference LaboratoryFaculty of Veterinary Medicine –University of BelgradeFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Belgrade, SerbiaScientific Veterinary Institute of Serbia, BeogradInstitute for Biological Research “Siniša Stanković” BelgradeScientific Veterinary Institute “Novi Sad”, Novi Sad, Republic of SerbiaFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Belgrade, SerbiaSeveral diff erent strategies for control and eradication of Classical Swine Fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based simulation model. Th e control strategy analyzed in this paper, in addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs, protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation, diff erent output parameters were compared such as: duration of epizootic of a disease, number of aff ected holdings and animals, direct costs such as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection.Depopulation of aff ected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most eff ective measures to stop spreading and eradication of the disease. However, during the simulation, systematic implementation of biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters demonstrated to be appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and setting up a stable epizootiological situation.https://niv.ns.ac.rs/e-avm/index.php/e-avm/article/view/96
spellingShingle Slavoljub Stanojević
Miroslav Valčić
Sonja Radojičić
Slobodan Stanojević
Stevan Avramov
Sava Lazić
Dušan Mišić
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
Archives of Veterinary Medicine
title COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
title_full COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
title_fullStr COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
title_full_unstemmed COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
title_short COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF DIFFERENT STRATEGIES FOR THE CONTROL OF CLASSICAL SWINE FEVER IN THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA USING MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
title_sort comparative analysis of different strategies for the control of classical swine fever in the republic of serbia using monte carlo simulation
url https://niv.ns.ac.rs/e-avm/index.php/e-avm/article/view/96
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