The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes

The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes

Dynamical models are now widely used to provide forecasts of above or below average seasonal mean temperatures and precipitation, with growing interest in their ability to forecast climate extremes on a seasonal time scale. This study assesses the skill of the ENSEMBLES multi-model ensemble to forec...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Acacia S. Pepler, Leandro B. Díaz, Chloé Prodhomme, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Arun Kumar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2015-09-01
Series:Weather and Climate Extremes
Subjects:
Extremes
Seasonal forecasting
ENSO
Climate model
Ensemble
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212094715300062

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