A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.

Genetic studies often seek to establish a causal chain of events originating from genetic variation through to molecular and clinical phenotypes. When multiple phenotypes share a common genetic association, one phenotype may act as an intermediate for the genetic effects on the other. Alternatively,...

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Main Authors: Wesley L Crouse, Gregory R Keele, Madeleine S Gastonguay, Gary A Churchill, William Valdar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-05-01
Series:PLoS Genetics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgen.1010184
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author Wesley L Crouse
Gregory R Keele
Madeleine S Gastonguay
Gary A Churchill
William Valdar
author_facet Wesley L Crouse
Gregory R Keele
Madeleine S Gastonguay
Gary A Churchill
William Valdar
author_sort Wesley L Crouse
collection DOAJ
description Genetic studies often seek to establish a causal chain of events originating from genetic variation through to molecular and clinical phenotypes. When multiple phenotypes share a common genetic association, one phenotype may act as an intermediate for the genetic effects on the other. Alternatively, the phenotypes may be causally unrelated but share genetic loci. Mediation analysis represents a class of causal inference approaches used to determine which of these scenarios is most plausible. We have developed a general approach to mediation analysis based on Bayesian model selection and have implemented it in an R package, bmediatR. Bayesian model selection provides a flexible framework that can be tailored to different analyses. Our approach can incorporate prior information about the likelihood of models and the strength of causal effects. It can also accommodate multiple genetic variants or multi-state haplotypes. Our approach reports posterior probabilities that can be useful in interpreting uncertainty among competing models. We compared bmediatR with other popular methods, including the Sobel test, Mendelian randomization, and Bayesian network analysis using simulated data. We found that bmediatR performed as well or better than these alternatives in most scenarios. We applied bmediatR to proteome data from Diversity Outbred (DO) mice, a multi-parent population, and demonstrate the power of mediation with multi-state haplotypes. We also applied bmediatR to data from human cell lines to identify transcripts that are mediated through or are expressed independently from local chromatin accessibility. We demonstrate that Bayesian model selection provides a powerful and versatile approach to identify causal relationships in genetic studies using model organism or human data.
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spelling doaj.art-72d0915fdb7d445a88a4acb36baf78d92023-01-10T05:31:33ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Genetics1553-73901553-74042022-05-01185e101018410.1371/journal.pgen.1010184A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.Wesley L CrouseGregory R KeeleMadeleine S GastonguayGary A ChurchillWilliam ValdarGenetic studies often seek to establish a causal chain of events originating from genetic variation through to molecular and clinical phenotypes. When multiple phenotypes share a common genetic association, one phenotype may act as an intermediate for the genetic effects on the other. Alternatively, the phenotypes may be causally unrelated but share genetic loci. Mediation analysis represents a class of causal inference approaches used to determine which of these scenarios is most plausible. We have developed a general approach to mediation analysis based on Bayesian model selection and have implemented it in an R package, bmediatR. Bayesian model selection provides a flexible framework that can be tailored to different analyses. Our approach can incorporate prior information about the likelihood of models and the strength of causal effects. It can also accommodate multiple genetic variants or multi-state haplotypes. Our approach reports posterior probabilities that can be useful in interpreting uncertainty among competing models. We compared bmediatR with other popular methods, including the Sobel test, Mendelian randomization, and Bayesian network analysis using simulated data. We found that bmediatR performed as well or better than these alternatives in most scenarios. We applied bmediatR to proteome data from Diversity Outbred (DO) mice, a multi-parent population, and demonstrate the power of mediation with multi-state haplotypes. We also applied bmediatR to data from human cell lines to identify transcripts that are mediated through or are expressed independently from local chromatin accessibility. We demonstrate that Bayesian model selection provides a powerful and versatile approach to identify causal relationships in genetic studies using model organism or human data.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgen.1010184
spellingShingle Wesley L Crouse
Gregory R Keele
Madeleine S Gastonguay
Gary A Churchill
William Valdar
A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.
PLoS Genetics
title A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.
title_full A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.
title_fullStr A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.
title_full_unstemmed A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.
title_short A Bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis.
title_sort bayesian model selection approach to mediation analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgen.1010184
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