The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets

The food and land use sector is a major contributor to India’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. On one hand, India is committed to sustainability targets in the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sectors, on the other, there is little clarity whether these objectives can align wit...

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Main Authors: Chandan Kumar Jha, Vartika Singh, Miodrag Stevanović, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Aline Mosnier, Isabelle Weindl, Alexander Popp, Guido Schmidt Traub, Ranjan Kumar Ghosh, Hermann Lotze-Campen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2022-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac788a
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author Chandan Kumar Jha
Vartika Singh
Miodrag Stevanović
Jan Philipp Dietrich
Aline Mosnier
Isabelle Weindl
Alexander Popp
Guido Schmidt Traub
Ranjan Kumar Ghosh
Hermann Lotze-Campen
author_facet Chandan Kumar Jha
Vartika Singh
Miodrag Stevanović
Jan Philipp Dietrich
Aline Mosnier
Isabelle Weindl
Alexander Popp
Guido Schmidt Traub
Ranjan Kumar Ghosh
Hermann Lotze-Campen
author_sort Chandan Kumar Jha
collection DOAJ
description The food and land use sector is a major contributor to India’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. On one hand, India is committed to sustainability targets in the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sectors, on the other, there is little clarity whether these objectives can align with national developmental priorities of food security and environmental protection. This study fills the gap by reviewing multiple corridors to sustain the AFOLU systems through an integrated assessment framework using partial equilibrium modeling. We create three pathways that combine the shared socio-economic pathways with alternative assumptions on diets and mitigation strategies. We analyze our results of the pathways on key indicators of land-use change, GHG emissions, food security, water withdrawals in agriculture, agricultural trade and production diversity. Our findings indicate that dietary shift, improved efficiency in livestock production systems, lower fertilizer use, and higher yield through sustainable intensification can reduce GHG emissions from the AFOLU sectors up to 80% by 2050. Dietary shifts could help meet EAT-Lancet recommended minimum calorie requirements alongside meeting mitigation ambitions. Further, water withdrawals in agriculture would reduce by half by 2050 in the presence of environmental flow protection and mitigation strategies. We conclude by pointing towards specific strategic policy design changes that would be essential to embark on such a sustainable pathway.
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spelling doaj.art-731f77b7779b4c72aba10f177f12b7cb2023-08-09T15:13:22ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262022-01-0117707402210.1088/1748-9326/ac788aThe role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targetsChandan Kumar Jha0Vartika Singh1Miodrag Stevanović2Jan Philipp Dietrich3Aline Mosnier4Isabelle Weindl5Alexander Popp6Guido Schmidt Traub7Ranjan Kumar Ghosh8Hermann Lotze-Campen9Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IIMA) , Ahmedabad, IndiaIndian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IIMA) , Ahmedabad, India; Department of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin , Berlin, Germany; International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) , New Delhi, IndiaPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association , Potsdam, GermanyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association , Potsdam, GermanyUN Sustainable Development Solutions Network , Paris, FrancePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association , Potsdam, GermanyPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association , Potsdam, GermanyUN Sustainable Development Solutions Network , Paris, FranceIndian Institute of Management Ahmedabad (IIMA) , Ahmedabad, IndiaDepartment of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin , Berlin, Germany; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association , Potsdam, GermanyThe food and land use sector is a major contributor to India’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. On one hand, India is committed to sustainability targets in the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sectors, on the other, there is little clarity whether these objectives can align with national developmental priorities of food security and environmental protection. This study fills the gap by reviewing multiple corridors to sustain the AFOLU systems through an integrated assessment framework using partial equilibrium modeling. We create three pathways that combine the shared socio-economic pathways with alternative assumptions on diets and mitigation strategies. We analyze our results of the pathways on key indicators of land-use change, GHG emissions, food security, water withdrawals in agriculture, agricultural trade and production diversity. Our findings indicate that dietary shift, improved efficiency in livestock production systems, lower fertilizer use, and higher yield through sustainable intensification can reduce GHG emissions from the AFOLU sectors up to 80% by 2050. Dietary shifts could help meet EAT-Lancet recommended minimum calorie requirements alongside meeting mitigation ambitions. Further, water withdrawals in agriculture would reduce by half by 2050 in the presence of environmental flow protection and mitigation strategies. We conclude by pointing towards specific strategic policy design changes that would be essential to embark on such a sustainable pathway.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac788aSSPsfood securityagricultural productivitySDGsclimate changemitigation
spellingShingle Chandan Kumar Jha
Vartika Singh
Miodrag Stevanović
Jan Philipp Dietrich
Aline Mosnier
Isabelle Weindl
Alexander Popp
Guido Schmidt Traub
Ranjan Kumar Ghosh
Hermann Lotze-Campen
The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets
Environmental Research Letters
SSPs
food security
agricultural productivity
SDGs
climate change
mitigation
title The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets
title_full The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets
title_fullStr The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets
title_full_unstemmed The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets
title_short The role of food and land use systems in achieving India’s sustainability targets
title_sort role of food and land use systems in achieving india s sustainability targets
topic SSPs
food security
agricultural productivity
SDGs
climate change
mitigation
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac788a
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