Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran
Mangroves are known for providing multiple ecosystem services and critical habitats for diverse species and are one of the most threatened ecosystems by human activities and climate change. However, little is known about their distributional patterns. In this study, the distribution of the dominant...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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IWA Publishing
2022-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Water and Climate Change |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/13/6/2479 |
| _version_ | 1811221535371821056 |
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| author | Razieh Ghyoumi Elham Ebrahimi Seyed Mohsen Mousavi |
| author_facet | Razieh Ghyoumi Elham Ebrahimi Seyed Mohsen Mousavi |
| author_sort | Razieh Ghyoumi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Mangroves are known for providing multiple ecosystem services and critical habitats for diverse species and are one of the most threatened ecosystems by human activities and climate change. However, little is known about their distributional patterns. In this study, the distribution of the dominant species, Avicennia marina was examined in the context of climate change to identify conservation priority objectives at the spatial and temporal scales on the southern coast of Iran. A maximum entropy model was used to predict the potential distribution of the mangrove forest in the current situation and forecast its future (2070: RCP 8.5, CCSM4). The result revealed that the potential distribution for the mangroves will decrease in the future and probably two habitat patches remain, one patch in the middle of the coasts of the Persian Gulf and another patch in the middle of the coasts of the Oman Sea. Annual mean temperature, temperature annual range, and annual precipitation were the most important determinants of the mangrove distribution. The findings can be used as a theoretical basis to manage and protect the habitat of mangroves in Iran. HIGHLIGHTS
Mangrove forests in Iran are found on the sheltered coasts, estuaries, and some near-shore islands of the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea and Avicennia marina is the dominant species.;
Mangrove habitat distribution in the southern coasts of Iran under climate, biochemical, and environmental conditions were predicted.;
The potential distribution for A. marina will decrease under RCP 8.5 by 2070.;
Eastern parts of the coasts of the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea are the most suitable areas for mangrove distribution.; |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T08:02:09Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-7350a548176b472d8a5c6e5dee840470 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2040-2244 2408-9354 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T08:02:09Z |
| publishDate | 2022-06-01 |
| publisher | IWA Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Water and Climate Change |
| spelling | doaj.art-7350a548176b472d8a5c6e5dee8404702022-12-22T03:41:17ZengIWA PublishingJournal of Water and Climate Change2040-22442408-93542022-06-011362479248910.2166/wcc.2022.069069Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in IranRazieh Ghyoumi0Elham Ebrahimi1Seyed Mohsen Mousavi2 Department of Environment, Research Group of Biodiversity and Biosafety, Research Center for Environment and Sustainable Development, RCESD, Tehran, Iran Department of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Management, Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, G.C., Evin, Tehran, Iran Department of Environmental Planning and Design, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran 1983969411, Iran Mangroves are known for providing multiple ecosystem services and critical habitats for diverse species and are one of the most threatened ecosystems by human activities and climate change. However, little is known about their distributional patterns. In this study, the distribution of the dominant species, Avicennia marina was examined in the context of climate change to identify conservation priority objectives at the spatial and temporal scales on the southern coast of Iran. A maximum entropy model was used to predict the potential distribution of the mangrove forest in the current situation and forecast its future (2070: RCP 8.5, CCSM4). The result revealed that the potential distribution for the mangroves will decrease in the future and probably two habitat patches remain, one patch in the middle of the coasts of the Persian Gulf and another patch in the middle of the coasts of the Oman Sea. Annual mean temperature, temperature annual range, and annual precipitation were the most important determinants of the mangrove distribution. The findings can be used as a theoretical basis to manage and protect the habitat of mangroves in Iran. HIGHLIGHTS Mangrove forests in Iran are found on the sheltered coasts, estuaries, and some near-shore islands of the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea and Avicennia marina is the dominant species.; Mangrove habitat distribution in the southern coasts of Iran under climate, biochemical, and environmental conditions were predicted.; The potential distribution for A. marina will decrease under RCP 8.5 by 2070.; Eastern parts of the coasts of the Persian Gulf and the Oman Sea are the most suitable areas for mangrove distribution.;http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/13/6/2479avicennia marinamaxentoman seapersian gulfspecies distribution model |
| spellingShingle | Razieh Ghyoumi Elham Ebrahimi Seyed Mohsen Mousavi Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran Journal of Water and Climate Change avicennia marina maxent oman sea persian gulf species distribution model |
| title | Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran |
| title_full | Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran |
| title_fullStr | Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran |
| title_full_unstemmed | Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran |
| title_short | Dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in Iran |
| title_sort | dynamics of mangrove forest distribution changes in iran |
| topic | avicennia marina maxent oman sea persian gulf species distribution model |
| url | http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/13/6/2479 |
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