A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals

We analyse a simple disease transmission model accounting for demographic features and an illness appearing in two forms, asymptomatic and symptomatic. Its main feature is the epidemic-induced fear of the population, for which contacts are reduced, responding to increasing symptomatic numbers. We fi...

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Main Authors: Francesca Acotto, Ezio Venturino
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Axioms
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/12/1/62
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author Francesca Acotto
Ezio Venturino
author_facet Francesca Acotto
Ezio Venturino
author_sort Francesca Acotto
collection DOAJ
description We analyse a simple disease transmission model accounting for demographic features and an illness appearing in two forms, asymptomatic and symptomatic. Its main feature is the epidemic-induced fear of the population, for which contacts are reduced, responding to increasing symptomatic numbers. We find that in the presence of asymptomatic individuals, if the progression rate to symptomatic is high, protection measures may prevent the whole population becoming infected. The results also elucidate the importance of assessing transmission rates as quickly as possible.
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spelling doaj.art-7372794dc1e84bf49f21a2ef11b185d72023-11-30T21:11:47ZengMDPI AGAxioms2075-16802023-01-011216210.3390/axioms12010062A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic IndividualsFrancesca Acotto0Ezio Venturino1Dipartimento di Matematica “Giuseppe Peano”, Università di Torino, Via Carlo Alberto 10, 10123 Torino, ItalyDipartimento di Matematica “Giuseppe Peano”, Università di Torino, Via Carlo Alberto 10, 10123 Torino, ItalyWe analyse a simple disease transmission model accounting for demographic features and an illness appearing in two forms, asymptomatic and symptomatic. Its main feature is the epidemic-induced fear of the population, for which contacts are reduced, responding to increasing symptomatic numbers. We find that in the presence of asymptomatic individuals, if the progression rate to symptomatic is high, protection measures may prevent the whole population becoming infected. The results also elucidate the importance of assessing transmission rates as quickly as possible.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/12/1/62population dynamicsvertical transmissionepidemic fear
spellingShingle Francesca Acotto
Ezio Venturino
A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals
Axioms
population dynamics
vertical transmission
epidemic fear
title A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals
title_full A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals
title_fullStr A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals
title_full_unstemmed A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals
title_short A Note on an Epidemic Model with Cautionary Response in the Presence of Asymptomatic Individuals
title_sort note on an epidemic model with cautionary response in the presence of asymptomatic individuals
topic population dynamics
vertical transmission
epidemic fear
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-1680/12/1/62
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