Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques

Electricity demand is increasing proportionally to the increase in power usage. Without a doubt, energy efficiency has gained significant importance and attention, with one of the primary concerns being the detection and forecasting of abnormal consumption.  In this paper, the authors...

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Main Authors: Rawan ELhadad, Yi-Fei Tan, Wooi-Nee Tan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Indonesia 2022-11-01
Series:International Journal of Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/5931
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author Rawan ELhadad
Yi-Fei Tan
Wooi-Nee Tan
author_facet Rawan ELhadad
Yi-Fei Tan
Wooi-Nee Tan
author_sort Rawan ELhadad
collection DOAJ
description Electricity demand is increasing proportionally to the increase in power usage. Without a doubt, energy efficiency has gained significant importance and attention, with one of the primary concerns being the detection and forecasting of abnormal consumption.  In this paper, the authors proposed a method to predict the occurrence of abnormal consumption behavior in advance. The proposed method utilizes the Isolation Forest algorithm to label the smart meter electricity consumption readings as normal or abnormal. It generates a sequence of data with varying lengths. Based on the data sequence, two supervised machine learning algorithms, Random Forest, and Decision Tree were developed to forecast the occurrence of power anomaly consumption. Experiment results showed that the proposed methods consistently detect and predict the abnormal status 30 minutes ahead.  There is no significant difference between Random Forest and Decision Tree performance on different smart meter readings, dataset sizes, and other data sequence lengths. The proposed methods portray an alternative approach that is capable of auto-label normal and abnormal data and, as a result, dealing with the sequence of label data in the prediction process while avoiding the dynamic behavior of the power consumption data.
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spelling doaj.art-738ab1226532450c98a9dbd26133d1692023-01-03T10:44:50ZengUniversitas IndonesiaInternational Journal of Technology2086-96142087-21002022-11-011361317132510.14716/ijtech.v13i6.59315931Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning TechniquesRawan ELhadad0Yi-Fei Tan1Wooi-Nee Tan2Faculty of Engineering, Multimedia University, Persiaran Multimedia, 63100, Cyberjaya, Selangor, MalaysiaFaculty of Engineering, Multimedia University, Persiaran Multimedia, 63100, Cyberjaya, Selangor, MalaysiaFaculty of Engineering, Multimedia University, Persiaran Multimedia, 63100, Cyberjaya, Selangor, MalaysiaElectricity demand is increasing proportionally to the increase in power usage. Without a doubt, energy efficiency has gained significant importance and attention, with one of the primary concerns being the detection and forecasting of abnormal consumption.  In this paper, the authors proposed a method to predict the occurrence of abnormal consumption behavior in advance. The proposed method utilizes the Isolation Forest algorithm to label the smart meter electricity consumption readings as normal or abnormal. It generates a sequence of data with varying lengths. Based on the data sequence, two supervised machine learning algorithms, Random Forest, and Decision Tree were developed to forecast the occurrence of power anomaly consumption. Experiment results showed that the proposed methods consistently detect and predict the abnormal status 30 minutes ahead.  There is no significant difference between Random Forest and Decision Tree performance on different smart meter readings, dataset sizes, and other data sequence lengths. The proposed methods portray an alternative approach that is capable of auto-label normal and abnormal data and, as a result, dealing with the sequence of label data in the prediction process while avoiding the dynamic behavior of the power consumption data.https://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/5931decision treeisolation forestpower consumption anomalypredictionrandom forest
spellingShingle Rawan ELhadad
Yi-Fei Tan
Wooi-Nee Tan
Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques
International Journal of Technology
decision tree
isolation forest
power consumption anomaly
prediction
random forest
title Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques
title_full Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques
title_fullStr Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques
title_short Anomaly Prediction in Electricity Consumption Using a Combination of Machine Learning Techniques
title_sort anomaly prediction in electricity consumption using a combination of machine learning techniques
topic decision tree
isolation forest
power consumption anomaly
prediction
random forest
url https://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/5931
work_keys_str_mv AT rawanelhadad anomalypredictioninelectricityconsumptionusingacombinationofmachinelearningtechniques
AT yifeitan anomalypredictioninelectricityconsumptionusingacombinationofmachinelearningtechniques
AT wooineetan anomalypredictioninelectricityconsumptionusingacombinationofmachinelearningtechniques