Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?

A wet-bulb temperature of 35 ^∘ C is widely used as the threshold for human survivability, but the wet-bulb temperature is not a particularly accurate metric for human heat stress. For a person in the shade, a more accurate metric is the heat index, which is based on a model of human thermoregulatio...

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Main Authors: Yi-Chuan Lu, David M Romps
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2023-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace83c
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author Yi-Chuan Lu
David M Romps
author_facet Yi-Chuan Lu
David M Romps
author_sort Yi-Chuan Lu
collection DOAJ
description A wet-bulb temperature of 35 ^∘ C is widely used as the threshold for human survivability, but the wet-bulb temperature is not a particularly accurate metric for human heat stress. For a person in the shade, a more accurate metric is the heat index, which is based on a model of human thermoregulation that accounts for metabolic heat, radiation, respiratory ventilation, and finite wind speeds. The heat index has two critical values: the highest heat index for which a healthy core temperature can be maintained and the highest heat index that is survivable. It is shown here that a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ^∘ C corresponds to conditions between these two critical values. For example, in a world warmer than pre-industrial by 10 ^∘ C, about 30% of the world’s population would be exposed once or more per year to a wet-bulb temperature above 35 ^∘ C, but the heat index reveals that less than 2% would be exposed to fatal conditions while over 60% would be exposed to conditions that would cause hyperthermia.
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spelling doaj.art-73c43878270c4048abc359a2ea0b04662023-08-28T11:14:13ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262023-01-0118909402110.1088/1748-9326/ace83cIs a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?Yi-Chuan Lu0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3659-1474David M Romps1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7649-5175Department of Physics, University of California, Berkeley , Berkeley, CA, United States of America; Climate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory , Berkeley, CA, United States of AmericaClimate and Ecosystem Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory , Berkeley, CA, United States of America; Department of Earth and Planetary Science, University of California, Berkeley , Berkeley, CA, United States of AmericaA wet-bulb temperature of 35 ^∘ C is widely used as the threshold for human survivability, but the wet-bulb temperature is not a particularly accurate metric for human heat stress. For a person in the shade, a more accurate metric is the heat index, which is based on a model of human thermoregulation that accounts for metabolic heat, radiation, respiratory ventilation, and finite wind speeds. The heat index has two critical values: the highest heat index for which a healthy core temperature can be maintained and the highest heat index that is survivable. It is shown here that a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ^∘ C corresponds to conditions between these two critical values. For example, in a world warmer than pre-industrial by 10 ^∘ C, about 30% of the world’s population would be exposed once or more per year to a wet-bulb temperature above 35 ^∘ C, but the heat index reveals that less than 2% would be exposed to fatal conditions while over 60% would be exposed to conditions that would cause hyperthermia.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace83cheat indexwet-bulb temperaturesurvivability
spellingShingle Yi-Chuan Lu
David M Romps
Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?
Environmental Research Letters
heat index
wet-bulb temperature
survivability
title Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?
title_full Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?
title_fullStr Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?
title_full_unstemmed Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?
title_short Is a wet-bulb temperature of 35 ∘C the correct threshold for human survivability?
title_sort is a wet bulb temperature of 35 ∘c the correct threshold for human survivability
topic heat index
wet-bulb temperature
survivability
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace83c
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