Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis

Abstract Background The two inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, CoronaVac and BBIBP-CorV, have been widely used to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The influence of multiple factors on inactivated vaccine effectiveness (VE) during long-term use and against variants is not well understood. Methods We sele...

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Main Authors: Shiyao Xu, Jincheng Li, Hongyuan Wang, Fuzhen Wang, Zundong Yin, Zhifeng Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-04-01
Series:BMC Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-023-02861-3
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author Shiyao Xu
Jincheng Li
Hongyuan Wang
Fuzhen Wang
Zundong Yin
Zhifeng Wang
author_facet Shiyao Xu
Jincheng Li
Hongyuan Wang
Fuzhen Wang
Zundong Yin
Zhifeng Wang
author_sort Shiyao Xu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The two inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, CoronaVac and BBIBP-CorV, have been widely used to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The influence of multiple factors on inactivated vaccine effectiveness (VE) during long-term use and against variants is not well understood. Methods We selected published or preprinted articles from PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, medRxiv, BioRxiv, and the WHO COVID-19 database by 31 August 2022. We included observational studies that assessed the VE of completed primary series or homologous booster against SARS-CoV-2 infection or severe COVID-19. We used DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models to calculate pooled estimates and conducted multiple meta-regression with an information theoretic approach based on Akaike’s Information Criterion to select the model and identify the factors associated with VE. Results Fifty-one eligible studies with 151 estimates were included. For prevention of infection, VE associated with study region, variants, and time since vaccination; VE was significantly decreased against Omicron compared to Alpha (P = 0.021), primary series VE was 52.8% (95% CI, 43.3 to 60.7%) against Delta and 16.4% (95% CI, 9.5 to 22.8%) against Omicron, and booster dose VE was 65.2% (95% CI, 48.3 to 76.6%) against Delta and 20.3% (95% CI, 10.5 to 28.0%) against Omicron; primary VE decreased significantly after 180 days (P = 0.022). For the prevention of severe COVID-19, VE associated with vaccine doses, age, study region, variants, study design, and study population type; booster VE increased significantly (P = 0.001) compared to primary; though VE decreased significantly against Gamma (P = 0.034), Delta (P = 0.001), and Omicron (P = 0.001) compared to Alpha, primary and booster VEs were all above 60% against each variant. Conclusions Inactivated vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection was moderate, decreased significantly after 6 months following primary vaccination, and was restored by booster vaccination. VE against severe COVID-19 was greatest after boosting and did not decrease over time, sustained for over 6 months after the primary series, and more evidence is needed to assess the duration of booster VE. VE varied by variants, most notably against Omicron. It is necessary to ensure booster vaccination of everyone eligible for SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and continue monitoring virus evolution and VE. Trial registration PROSPERO, CRD42022353272.
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spelling doaj.art-73d7b703064540caa7ff6feedda910762023-04-30T11:18:30ZengBMCBMC Medicine1741-70152023-04-0121111410.1186/s12916-023-02861-3Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysisShiyao Xu0Jincheng Li1Hongyuan Wang2Fuzhen Wang3Zundong Yin4Zhifeng Wang5Department of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Immunization ProgrammeChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Immunization ProgrammeDepartment of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, Peking UniversityAbstract Background The two inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, CoronaVac and BBIBP-CorV, have been widely used to control the COVID-19 pandemic. The influence of multiple factors on inactivated vaccine effectiveness (VE) during long-term use and against variants is not well understood. Methods We selected published or preprinted articles from PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, medRxiv, BioRxiv, and the WHO COVID-19 database by 31 August 2022. We included observational studies that assessed the VE of completed primary series or homologous booster against SARS-CoV-2 infection or severe COVID-19. We used DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models to calculate pooled estimates and conducted multiple meta-regression with an information theoretic approach based on Akaike’s Information Criterion to select the model and identify the factors associated with VE. Results Fifty-one eligible studies with 151 estimates were included. For prevention of infection, VE associated with study region, variants, and time since vaccination; VE was significantly decreased against Omicron compared to Alpha (P = 0.021), primary series VE was 52.8% (95% CI, 43.3 to 60.7%) against Delta and 16.4% (95% CI, 9.5 to 22.8%) against Omicron, and booster dose VE was 65.2% (95% CI, 48.3 to 76.6%) against Delta and 20.3% (95% CI, 10.5 to 28.0%) against Omicron; primary VE decreased significantly after 180 days (P = 0.022). For the prevention of severe COVID-19, VE associated with vaccine doses, age, study region, variants, study design, and study population type; booster VE increased significantly (P = 0.001) compared to primary; though VE decreased significantly against Gamma (P = 0.034), Delta (P = 0.001), and Omicron (P = 0.001) compared to Alpha, primary and booster VEs were all above 60% against each variant. Conclusions Inactivated vaccine protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection was moderate, decreased significantly after 6 months following primary vaccination, and was restored by booster vaccination. VE against severe COVID-19 was greatest after boosting and did not decrease over time, sustained for over 6 months after the primary series, and more evidence is needed to assess the duration of booster VE. VE varied by variants, most notably against Omicron. It is necessary to ensure booster vaccination of everyone eligible for SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and continue monitoring virus evolution and VE. Trial registration PROSPERO, CRD42022353272.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-023-02861-3SARS-CoV-2Inactivated vaccineEffectivenessFactorMeta-regression
spellingShingle Shiyao Xu
Jincheng Li
Hongyuan Wang
Fuzhen Wang
Zundong Yin
Zhifeng Wang
Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
BMC Medicine
SARS-CoV-2
Inactivated vaccine
Effectiveness
Factor
Meta-regression
title Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
title_full Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
title_fullStr Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
title_full_unstemmed Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
title_short Real-world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines: a systematic review and meta-regression analysis
title_sort real world effectiveness and factors associated with effectiveness of inactivated sars cov 2 vaccines a systematic review and meta regression analysis
topic SARS-CoV-2
Inactivated vaccine
Effectiveness
Factor
Meta-regression
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-023-02861-3
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