Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study

BackgroundWarfarin reduces ischemic stroke risk in atrial fibrillation (AF) but increases bleeding risk. Novel anticoagulants challenge warfarin as stroke‐preventive therapy for AF. They are available at fixed doses but are more costly. Warfarin anticoagulation at a time in therapeutic range (TTR) ≥...

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Main Authors: Liane O. Dallalzadeh, Alan S. Go, Yuchiao Chang, Leila H. Borowsky, Margaret C. Fang, Daniel E. Singer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-07-01
Series:Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.116.003482
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author Liane O. Dallalzadeh
Alan S. Go
Yuchiao Chang
Leila H. Borowsky
Margaret C. Fang
Daniel E. Singer
author_facet Liane O. Dallalzadeh
Alan S. Go
Yuchiao Chang
Leila H. Borowsky
Margaret C. Fang
Daniel E. Singer
author_sort Liane O. Dallalzadeh
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundWarfarin reduces ischemic stroke risk in atrial fibrillation (AF) but increases bleeding risk. Novel anticoagulants challenge warfarin as stroke‐preventive therapy for AF. They are available at fixed doses but are more costly. Warfarin anticoagulation at a time in therapeutic range (TTR) ≥70% is similarly as effective and safe as novel anticoagulants. It is unclear whether AF patients with TTR ≥70% will remain stably anticoagulated and avoid the need to switch to a novel anticoagulant. We assessed stability of warfarin anticoagulation in AF patients with an initial TTR ≥70%. Methods and ResultsWithin the community‐based Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in AF (ATRIA) cohort followed from 1996 to 2003, we identified 2841 new warfarin users who continued warfarin over 9 months. We excluded months 1 to 3 to achieve a stable dose. For the 987 patients with TTR ≥70% in an initial 6‐month period (TTR1; months 4–9), we described the distribution of TTR2 (months 10–15) and assessed multivariable correlates of persistent TTR ≥70%. Of patients with TTR1 ≥70%, 57% persisted with TTR2 ≥70% and 16% deteriorated to TTR2 <50%. Only initial TTR1 ≥90% (adjusted odds ratio 1.47, 95% CI 1.07–2.01) independently predicted TTR2 ≥70%. Heart failure was moderately associated with marked deterioration (TTR2 <50%); adjusted odds ratio 1.45, 95% CI 1.00–2.10. ConclusionsNearly 60% of AF patients with high‐quality TTR1 on warfarin maintained TTR ≥70% over the next 6 months. A minority deteriorated to very poor TTR. Patient features did not strongly predict TTR in the second 6‐month period. Our analyses support watchful waiting for AF patients with initial high‐quality warfarin anticoagulation before considering alternative anticoagulants.
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spelling doaj.art-74416bbd54bb4d34a27998b96a1e2e4a2022-12-21T18:11:39ZengWileyJournal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease2047-99802016-07-015710.1161/JAHA.116.003482Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) StudyLiane O. Dallalzadeh0Alan S. Go1Yuchiao Chang2Leila H. Borowsky3Margaret C. Fang4Daniel E. Singer5Harvard Medical School, Boston, MADivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente of Northern California, Oakland, CAHarvard Medical School, Boston, MADivision of General Internal Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MADivision of Hospital Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CAHarvard Medical School, Boston, MABackgroundWarfarin reduces ischemic stroke risk in atrial fibrillation (AF) but increases bleeding risk. Novel anticoagulants challenge warfarin as stroke‐preventive therapy for AF. They are available at fixed doses but are more costly. Warfarin anticoagulation at a time in therapeutic range (TTR) ≥70% is similarly as effective and safe as novel anticoagulants. It is unclear whether AF patients with TTR ≥70% will remain stably anticoagulated and avoid the need to switch to a novel anticoagulant. We assessed stability of warfarin anticoagulation in AF patients with an initial TTR ≥70%. Methods and ResultsWithin the community‐based Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in AF (ATRIA) cohort followed from 1996 to 2003, we identified 2841 new warfarin users who continued warfarin over 9 months. We excluded months 1 to 3 to achieve a stable dose. For the 987 patients with TTR ≥70% in an initial 6‐month period (TTR1; months 4–9), we described the distribution of TTR2 (months 10–15) and assessed multivariable correlates of persistent TTR ≥70%. Of patients with TTR1 ≥70%, 57% persisted with TTR2 ≥70% and 16% deteriorated to TTR2 <50%. Only initial TTR1 ≥90% (adjusted odds ratio 1.47, 95% CI 1.07–2.01) independently predicted TTR2 ≥70%. Heart failure was moderately associated with marked deterioration (TTR2 <50%); adjusted odds ratio 1.45, 95% CI 1.00–2.10. ConclusionsNearly 60% of AF patients with high‐quality TTR1 on warfarin maintained TTR ≥70% over the next 6 months. A minority deteriorated to very poor TTR. Patient features did not strongly predict TTR in the second 6‐month period. Our analyses support watchful waiting for AF patients with initial high‐quality warfarin anticoagulation before considering alternative anticoagulants.https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.116.003482anticoagulantsarrhythmiaembolismpreventionrisk factors
spellingShingle Liane O. Dallalzadeh
Alan S. Go
Yuchiao Chang
Leila H. Borowsky
Margaret C. Fang
Daniel E. Singer
Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study
Journal of the American Heart Association: Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Disease
anticoagulants
arrhythmia
embolism
prevention
risk factors
title Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study
title_full Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study
title_fullStr Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study
title_full_unstemmed Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study
title_short Stability of High‐Quality Warfarin Anticoagulation in a Community‐Based Atrial Fibrillation Cohort: The Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation (ATRIA) Study
title_sort stability of high quality warfarin anticoagulation in a community based atrial fibrillation cohort the anticoagulation and risk factors in atrial fibrillation atria study
topic anticoagulants
arrhythmia
embolism
prevention
risk factors
url https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.116.003482
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