The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia
The current study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change (CC) on rice productivity (RP) in Malaysia. The Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) models were employed in this study. Time series data from 1980 to 2019...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2023-05-01
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| Series: | Heliyon |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S240584402303325X |
| _version_ | 1797815576831197184 |
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| author | Qing Zhang Rulia Akhtar Abu Naser Mohammad Saif Hamida Akhter Dalowar Hossan S.M. Ashraful Alam Md. Fakhrudoza Bari |
| author_facet | Qing Zhang Rulia Akhtar Abu Naser Mohammad Saif Hamida Akhter Dalowar Hossan S.M. Ashraful Alam Md. Fakhrudoza Bari |
| author_sort | Qing Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The current study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change (CC) on rice productivity (RP) in Malaysia. The Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) models were employed in this study. Time series data from 1980 to 2019 were collected from the World Bank and the Department of Statistics, Malaysia. The estimated results are also validated using Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR). The findings of symmetric ARDL show that rainfall and cultivated area have significant and advantageous effects on rice output. The NARDL-bound test outcomes display that climate change has an asymmetrical long-run impact on rice productivity. Climate change has had varying degrees of positive and negative impacts on rice productivity in Malaysia. Positive changes in temperature and rainfall have a substantial and destructive impact on RP. At the same time, negative variations in temperature and rainfall have a substantial and positive impact on rice production in the Malaysian agriculture sector. Changes in cultivated areas, both positive and negative, have a long-term optimistic impact on rice output. Additionally, we discovered that only temperature affects rice output in both directions. Malaysian policymakers must understand the symmetric and asymmetric effects of CC on RP and agricultural policies that will promote sustainable agricultural development and food security. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T08:24:54Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-74705a33c0a64a84b9b057d5db548134 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2405-8440 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T08:24:54Z |
| publishDate | 2023-05-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Heliyon |
| spelling | doaj.art-74705a33c0a64a84b9b057d5db5481342023-05-31T04:46:41ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402023-05-0195e16118The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in MalaysiaQing Zhang0Rulia Akhtar1Abu Naser Mohammad Saif2Hamida Akhter3Dalowar Hossan4S.M. Ashraful Alam5Md. Fakhrudoza Bari6Institute for Mathematical Research (INSPEM), Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia; Business School, Linyi University, Shandong, ChinaUngku Aziz Centre for Development Studies, Office of Deputy Vice Chancellor (Research & Innovation), Universiti Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, MalaysiaSchool of Business and Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia; Department of Management Information Systems, Faculty of Business Studies, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh; Corresponding author. School of Business and Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, Malaysia.Department of Management Information Systems, Faculty of Business Studies, University of Dhaka, BangladeshSchool of Business and Economics, Universiti Putra Malaysia, 43400 UPM Serdang, Selangor, MalaysiaDepartment of Management Information Systems, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur, BangladeshGreen Business School, Green University of Bangladesh, Dhaka, BangladeshThe current study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change (CC) on rice productivity (RP) in Malaysia. The Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) models were employed in this study. Time series data from 1980 to 2019 were collected from the World Bank and the Department of Statistics, Malaysia. The estimated results are also validated using Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR). The findings of symmetric ARDL show that rainfall and cultivated area have significant and advantageous effects on rice output. The NARDL-bound test outcomes display that climate change has an asymmetrical long-run impact on rice productivity. Climate change has had varying degrees of positive and negative impacts on rice productivity in Malaysia. Positive changes in temperature and rainfall have a substantial and destructive impact on RP. At the same time, negative variations in temperature and rainfall have a substantial and positive impact on rice production in the Malaysian agriculture sector. Changes in cultivated areas, both positive and negative, have a long-term optimistic impact on rice output. Additionally, we discovered that only temperature affects rice output in both directions. Malaysian policymakers must understand the symmetric and asymmetric effects of CC on RP and agricultural policies that will promote sustainable agricultural development and food security.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S240584402303325XClimate changeRice productivityCultivated areaMalaysiaNARDL |
| spellingShingle | Qing Zhang Rulia Akhtar Abu Naser Mohammad Saif Hamida Akhter Dalowar Hossan S.M. Ashraful Alam Md. Fakhrudoza Bari The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia Heliyon Climate change Rice productivity Cultivated area Malaysia NARDL |
| title | The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia |
| title_full | The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia |
| title_fullStr | The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia |
| title_full_unstemmed | The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia |
| title_short | The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia |
| title_sort | symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in malaysia |
| topic | Climate change Rice productivity Cultivated area Malaysia NARDL |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S240584402303325X |
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