Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls

Background This study aimed to assess the predictive value of body mass index (BMI) and skeletal maturity for the occurrence of early menarche in Chinese girls.Methods A cross-sectional analysis was conducted on 785 girls aged 8.1–14.6 years who visited our hospital within 3 months of menarche onset...

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Main Authors: Hui Li, Yang Li, Hua-Hong Wu, Jia-yun Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2024-02-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/14/2/e077076.full
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author Hui Li
Yang Li
Hua-Hong Wu
Jia-yun Guo
author_facet Hui Li
Yang Li
Hua-Hong Wu
Jia-yun Guo
author_sort Hui Li
collection DOAJ
description Background This study aimed to assess the predictive value of body mass index (BMI) and skeletal maturity for the occurrence of early menarche in Chinese girls.Methods A cross-sectional analysis was conducted on 785 girls aged 8.1–14.6 years who visited our hospital within 3 months of menarche onset. Early menarche was defined as menarche age (MA) <10 years. Skeletal maturity was classified based on the difference between bone age (BA) and chronological age (CA), termed BA-CA; advanced BA was defined as BA-CA>2 years.Results The average MA was 10.7 (SD: 1.1) years, with a prevalence of early menarche of 23.3%. BA exhibited relative stability compared with MA, with an average of 12.8 (SD: 0.5) years at menarche onset. At menarche onset, the average height, weight and BMI were 149.1 (SD: 5.1) cm, 43.3 (SD: 7.2) kg and 19.4 (SD: 2.8) kg/m², respectively. Logistic regression analyses indicated that every 1-year increment in BA-CA was independently associated with a 18.90-fold higher risk of early menarche (95% CI 11.77 to 30.32), respectively, and remained statistically significant even after adjusting for height or mid-parental height. Furthermore, the prediction of BA-CA for early menarche demonstrated a dose-dependent pattern across BMI categories, with the greatest risk observed in normal-weight girls, the lowest risk in obese girls and an intermediate risk in overweight girls at the same degree of BA advancement.Conclusions Our findings provide evidence supporting the significant contributions of BMI and skeletal maturity in predicting early menarche among Chinese girls at menarche onset. Additionally, the results suggest a dose-dependent relationship between skeletal maturity and BMI categories, with normal-weight girls displaying a higher risk of early menarche compared to overweight and obese girls with the same degree of BA advancement.
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spelling doaj.art-74c5c6954b8c412aa1d34827ba792a4b2024-03-07T12:05:08ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552024-02-0114210.1136/bmjopen-2023-077076Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girlsHui Li0Yang Li1Hua-Hong Wu2Jia-yun Guo3Department of Growth and Development, Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Growth and Development, Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Growth and Development, Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing, ChinaDepartment of Growth and Development, Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing, ChinaBackground This study aimed to assess the predictive value of body mass index (BMI) and skeletal maturity for the occurrence of early menarche in Chinese girls.Methods A cross-sectional analysis was conducted on 785 girls aged 8.1–14.6 years who visited our hospital within 3 months of menarche onset. Early menarche was defined as menarche age (MA) <10 years. Skeletal maturity was classified based on the difference between bone age (BA) and chronological age (CA), termed BA-CA; advanced BA was defined as BA-CA>2 years.Results The average MA was 10.7 (SD: 1.1) years, with a prevalence of early menarche of 23.3%. BA exhibited relative stability compared with MA, with an average of 12.8 (SD: 0.5) years at menarche onset. At menarche onset, the average height, weight and BMI were 149.1 (SD: 5.1) cm, 43.3 (SD: 7.2) kg and 19.4 (SD: 2.8) kg/m², respectively. Logistic regression analyses indicated that every 1-year increment in BA-CA was independently associated with a 18.90-fold higher risk of early menarche (95% CI 11.77 to 30.32), respectively, and remained statistically significant even after adjusting for height or mid-parental height. Furthermore, the prediction of BA-CA for early menarche demonstrated a dose-dependent pattern across BMI categories, with the greatest risk observed in normal-weight girls, the lowest risk in obese girls and an intermediate risk in overweight girls at the same degree of BA advancement.Conclusions Our findings provide evidence supporting the significant contributions of BMI and skeletal maturity in predicting early menarche among Chinese girls at menarche onset. Additionally, the results suggest a dose-dependent relationship between skeletal maturity and BMI categories, with normal-weight girls displaying a higher risk of early menarche compared to overweight and obese girls with the same degree of BA advancement.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/14/2/e077076.full
spellingShingle Hui Li
Yang Li
Hua-Hong Wu
Jia-yun Guo
Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls
BMJ Open
title Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls
title_full Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls
title_fullStr Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls
title_short Prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset: a cross-sectional study of Chinese girls
title_sort prediction of body mass index and skeletal maturity for early menarche risk at menarche onset a cross sectional study of chinese girls
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/14/2/e077076.full
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