Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)

Recent decade was undoubtedly a uniqe one for the banking and financial sector in Iranian economy. Stock market index was breaking records now and then, new credit institutions were established one after another, and different banks were competing in raising their interest rates of deposits. Put thi...

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Main Authors: Mohammad Jelodar Mamaghani, Abdosadeh Neisy, Mahdi Goldani, Saeed Rahimian
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2016-09-01
Series:Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
Subjects:
Online Access:https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_7024_df077ac2cbee0804836ae3b99b0e2526.pdf
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author Mohammad Jelodar Mamaghani
Abdosadeh Neisy
Mahdi Goldani
Saeed Rahimian
author_facet Mohammad Jelodar Mamaghani
Abdosadeh Neisy
Mahdi Goldani
Saeed Rahimian
author_sort Mohammad Jelodar Mamaghani
collection DOAJ
description Recent decade was undoubtedly a uniqe one for the banking and financial sector in Iranian economy. Stock market index was breaking records now and then, new credit institutions were established one after another, and different banks were competing in raising their interest rates of deposits. Put this story alongside an unprecedented bubble in construction sector in years 2006 and 2007, and we can realize that real sectors of the economy, specially industry and agriculture, were in what circumstances. Whatever is our definition of development and whatever is our index for measuring it, we cannot deny the fact that the reliable development is the one which is balanced and can cause growth in all sectors in a homogeneous and proportional way. One of important factors in analysing the situation of these sectors, is the credit ranking and grading that they have been able to get based on their performance from banking and financial system. Therefore, measuring credit risk in these sectors can make a good impression on their performance for policy-makers in each sector and economist involved with the issue. In this paper, we are going to calculate and analyze credit risk in different sectors of Iranian economy, namely “industry”, “agriculture” and “services and housing” sectors by analysing companies accepted in Stock Exchange and OTC markets. Some of the results of this study are high volatility and declining credit risk in industry sector, high and growing volatility in services and housing sector, and low volatility but very high average and declining trend in agriculture sector.
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spelling doaj.art-74d4c6f4b256444cad6378deacaf96972023-12-26T08:02:55ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University PressFaslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī1735-210X2476-64532016-09-01166210313510.22054/joer.2016.70247024Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)Mohammad Jelodar Mamaghani0Abdosadeh Neisy1Mahdi Goldani2Saeed Rahimian3Professor, Faculty of Mathematical Science, Allameh Tabatab’i UniversityAssociate Professor, Faculty of Mathematical Science, Allameh Tabatab’i UniversityPhD Student in Economics, Allameh Tabatab’iPhD in Economics, University of Luigi Bocconi, ItalyRecent decade was undoubtedly a uniqe one for the banking and financial sector in Iranian economy. Stock market index was breaking records now and then, new credit institutions were established one after another, and different banks were competing in raising their interest rates of deposits. Put this story alongside an unprecedented bubble in construction sector in years 2006 and 2007, and we can realize that real sectors of the economy, specially industry and agriculture, were in what circumstances. Whatever is our definition of development and whatever is our index for measuring it, we cannot deny the fact that the reliable development is the one which is balanced and can cause growth in all sectors in a homogeneous and proportional way. One of important factors in analysing the situation of these sectors, is the credit ranking and grading that they have been able to get based on their performance from banking and financial system. Therefore, measuring credit risk in these sectors can make a good impression on their performance for policy-makers in each sector and economist involved with the issue. In this paper, we are going to calculate and analyze credit risk in different sectors of Iranian economy, namely “industry”, “agriculture” and “services and housing” sectors by analysing companies accepted in Stock Exchange and OTC markets. Some of the results of this study are high volatility and declining credit risk in industry sector, high and growing volatility in services and housing sector, and low volatility but very high average and declining trend in agriculture sector.https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_7024_df077ac2cbee0804836ae3b99b0e2526.pdfcredit riskmerton approach to find credit riskeconomic sectors
spellingShingle Mohammad Jelodar Mamaghani
Abdosadeh Neisy
Mahdi Goldani
Saeed Rahimian
Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)
Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
credit risk
merton approach to find credit risk
economic sectors
title Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)
title_full Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)
title_fullStr Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)
title_full_unstemmed Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)
title_short Analyzing the Credit Risk of Economic Sectors (“Industry”, “Agriculture” and “Services and Housing”)
title_sort analyzing the credit risk of economic sectors industry agriculture and services and housing
topic credit risk
merton approach to find credit risk
economic sectors
url https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_7024_df077ac2cbee0804836ae3b99b0e2526.pdf
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