Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta
Abstract The need for explicitly considering equity in climate change adaptation planning is increasingly being recognized. However, evaluations of adaptation often adopt an aggregated perspective, while disaggregation of results is important to learn about who benefits when and where. A typical exa...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2021-05-01
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| Series: | Earth's Future |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001939 |
| _version_ | 1818472145752162304 |
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| author | Bramka Arga Jafino Jan H. Kwakkel Frans Klijn Nguyen Viet Dung Hedwig van Delden Marjolijn Haasnoot Edwin H. Sutanudjaja |
| author_facet | Bramka Arga Jafino Jan H. Kwakkel Frans Klijn Nguyen Viet Dung Hedwig van Delden Marjolijn Haasnoot Edwin H. Sutanudjaja |
| author_sort | Bramka Arga Jafino |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract The need for explicitly considering equity in climate change adaptation planning is increasingly being recognized. However, evaluations of adaptation often adopt an aggregated perspective, while disaggregation of results is important to learn about who benefits when and where. A typical example is adaptation of rice agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta (VMD). Efforts focused on flood protection have mainly benefitted large‐scale farmers while harming small‐scale farmers. To investigate the distributional consequences of adaptation policies in the VMD, we assess both aggregate total output and equity indicators, as well as disaggregated impacts in terms of district‐level farming profitability. Doing so requires an adequate representation of the multisectoral dynamics between the human and biophysical systems which influence farming profitability. We develop a spatially explicit integrated assessment model that couples inundation, sedimentation, soil fertility and nutrient dynamics, and behavioral land‐use change and farming profitability calculation. We find that inter‐district inequality responds in a non‐linear way to climatic and socio‐economic changes and choices of adaptation policies. The patterns of who wins and who loses could change substantially when a different policy is implemented or if a slightly different uncertain future materializes. We also find that there is no simple ranking of alternative adaptation policies, so one should make trade‐offs based on agreed preferences. Accounting for equity implies exploring the distribution of outcomes over different groups over a range of uncertain futures. Only by accounting for multisectoral dynamics can planners anticipate the equity consequences of adaptation and prepare additional measures to aid the worse‐off actors. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-14T04:02:40Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-74e6fd82108d4b7a9d0470d7342fd899 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2328-4277 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-14T04:02:40Z |
| publishDate | 2021-05-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Earth's Future |
| spelling | doaj.art-74e6fd82108d4b7a9d0470d7342fd8992022-12-22T02:13:30ZengWileyEarth's Future2328-42772021-05-0195n/an/a10.1029/2020EF001939Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong DeltaBramka Arga Jafino0Jan H. Kwakkel1Frans Klijn2Nguyen Viet Dung3Hedwig van Delden4Marjolijn Haasnoot5Edwin H. Sutanudjaja6Faculty of Technology, Policy, and Management Delft University of Technology Delft NetherlandsFaculty of Technology, Policy, and Management Delft University of Technology Delft NetherlandsFaculty of Technology, Policy, and Management Delft University of Technology Delft NetherlandsGFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences Section Hydrology Potsdam GermanyResearch Institute for Knowledge Systems Maastricht NetherlandsDeltares Delft NetherlandsFaculty of Geosciences Utrecht University Utrecht NetherlandsAbstract The need for explicitly considering equity in climate change adaptation planning is increasingly being recognized. However, evaluations of adaptation often adopt an aggregated perspective, while disaggregation of results is important to learn about who benefits when and where. A typical example is adaptation of rice agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta (VMD). Efforts focused on flood protection have mainly benefitted large‐scale farmers while harming small‐scale farmers. To investigate the distributional consequences of adaptation policies in the VMD, we assess both aggregate total output and equity indicators, as well as disaggregated impacts in terms of district‐level farming profitability. Doing so requires an adequate representation of the multisectoral dynamics between the human and biophysical systems which influence farming profitability. We develop a spatially explicit integrated assessment model that couples inundation, sedimentation, soil fertility and nutrient dynamics, and behavioral land‐use change and farming profitability calculation. We find that inter‐district inequality responds in a non‐linear way to climatic and socio‐economic changes and choices of adaptation policies. The patterns of who wins and who loses could change substantially when a different policy is implemented or if a slightly different uncertain future materializes. We also find that there is no simple ranking of alternative adaptation policies, so one should make trade‐offs based on agreed preferences. Accounting for equity implies exploring the distribution of outcomes over different groups over a range of uncertain futures. Only by accounting for multisectoral dynamics can planners anticipate the equity consequences of adaptation and prepare additional measures to aid the worse‐off actors.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001939adaptationagricultureequitymultisectoral dynamicsVietnam Mekong Delta |
| spellingShingle | Bramka Arga Jafino Jan H. Kwakkel Frans Klijn Nguyen Viet Dung Hedwig van Delden Marjolijn Haasnoot Edwin H. Sutanudjaja Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta Earth's Future adaptation agriculture equity multisectoral dynamics Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| title | Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| title_full | Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| title_fullStr | Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| title_full_unstemmed | Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| title_short | Accounting for Multisectoral Dynamics in Supporting Equitable Adaptation Planning: A Case Study on the Rice Agriculture in the Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| title_sort | accounting for multisectoral dynamics in supporting equitable adaptation planning a case study on the rice agriculture in the vietnam mekong delta |
| topic | adaptation agriculture equity multisectoral dynamics Vietnam Mekong Delta |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001939 |
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